LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
58
rows
Days on list
101
oldest active
Screener Funnel
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/9 directionally right · mean +0.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.299 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.98 · Days To Cover: 7.31 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.00 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 17 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.279 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.279 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.97 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 17 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.01 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 16 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.769 | 3 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.193 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.769 | 3 | decayed | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -6.84% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.193 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.03 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 17 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.126 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.126 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.12 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 26 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.504 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.68% · 1-day return: -3.68% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.48% |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.146 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.146 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.122 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.122 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 37 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.299 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.01 · Days To Cover: 5.01 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.504 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.68% · 1-day return: -3.68% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.48% |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.769 | 3 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.504 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.68% · 1-day return: -3.68% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.48% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.408 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.48% · 1-day return: -4.48% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Sector return (1d): -0.94% · Sector return: -0.94% · Borrowed drop: -3.57% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.362 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Sector return (1d): 0.21% · Sector return: 0.21% · Borrowed drop: -3.26% |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.138 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.45% |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.302 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.769 | 3 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.769 | 3 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.30 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.769 | 3 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -6.84% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.138 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.45% |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.138 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.138 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.45% |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.136 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 1.24 · Sector return (1d): -0.99% · Sector return: -0.99% · Borrowed drop: -2.43% |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.136 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 1.24 · Sector return (1d): -0.99% · Sector return: -0.99% · Borrowed drop: -2.43% |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.394 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.764 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.95% · 1-day return: 0.95% · Beta (60d): 1.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.62% |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.051 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.764 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.95% · 1-day return: 0.95% · Beta (60d): 1.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.62% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.764 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.95% · 1-day return: 0.95% · Beta (60d): 1.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.62% |
| 2026-06-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.051 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.640 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.37% · 1-day return: -2.37% · Beta (60d): 1.77 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.80% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.799 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.97% · 1-day return: 2.97% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.97% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.851 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.97% · 1-day return: 2.97% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.97% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.918 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.97% · 1-day return: 2.97% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.97% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.844 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.98% · 1-day return: 2.98% · Beta (60d): 1.75 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.864 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.69% · 1-day return: -2.69% · Beta (60d): 1.71 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.070 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.14% · 1-day return: 0.14% · Beta (60d): 1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.051 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |