TDG
TransDigm Group
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
49
rows
Days on list
10
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.057confluence: 1days: 10as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.50 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 30 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.10
Sma Dist 200
-0.10
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
7 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/9 directionally right · mean +0.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-03 → open6 bars
+1.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-21 → 2026-08-242 bars
+1.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-18 → open18 bars
+8.2%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-187 bars
+1.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
-1.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-30 → 2026-08-044 bars
-3.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-14 → 2026-07-152 bars
-2.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+5.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
-3.8%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-128 bars
+5.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.180 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.057 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.50 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 30 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.077 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.44 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.086 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.51 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.034 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.49 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 33 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.018 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.61 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 32 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.316 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.54% · 1-day return: -3.54% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -2.79% |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.030 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.67 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 39 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.023 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.67 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 40 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.180 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.316 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.54% · 1-day return: -3.54% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -2.79% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.316 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.54% · 1-day return: -3.54% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -2.79% |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.638 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.087 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.180 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.185 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.084 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.37% · 1-day return: -3.37% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -0.83% |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.191 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.198 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.205 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.216 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.084 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.37% · 1-day return: -3.37% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -0.83% |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.087 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.738 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.084 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.084 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.37% · 1-day return: -3.37% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -0.83% |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.549 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.46% · 1-day return: -4.46% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -3.74% |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.549 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.46% · 1-day return: -4.46% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -3.74% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.266 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.60% · 1-day return: -0.60% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.60% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.549 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.46% · 1-day return: -4.46% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -3.74% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.465 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.266 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.60% · 1-day return: -0.60% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.60% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.266 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.60% · 1-day return: -0.60% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.60% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.246 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.60% · 1-day return: -0.60% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.924 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.60% · 1-day return: -0.60% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.40% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.465 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.465 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.63% · 1-day return: -3.63% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.23% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.705 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.47% · 1-day return: -2.47% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.14% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.87% · 1-day return: 0.87% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.87% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.362 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.87% · 1-day return: 0.87% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.87% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.361 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.87% · 1-day return: 0.87% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.87% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.043 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.11% · 1-day return: 0.11% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.465 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |