DOW
Dow Inc.
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
4
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.520confluence: 2days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.125 >= 0.1)earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.13
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.520confluence: 2days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -3.7%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.56pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.64×+0.3%=-0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.72%
1-day return
-3.72%
Beta (60d)
-0.64
Sector return (1d)
0.25%
Sector return
0.25%
Borrowed drop
-3.56%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.679confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-16
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.4%failure_vol:weak:0.56sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.29
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.36%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 37as of 2026-07-10
Triggers:rvol_pctile 12.0 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
11.95
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
9 daysripe: Confirmed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
12 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/4 directionally right · mean -12.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-203 bars
-1.5%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-13.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-09 → 2026-07-0116 bars
-20.6%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-07-1426 bars
-12.8%dropped
2 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.520 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.72% · 1-day return: -3.72% · Beta (60d): -0.64 · Sector return (1d): 0.25% · Sector return: 0.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.520 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.371 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): -0.65 · Sector return (1d): 1.91% · Sector return: 1.91% · Borrowed drop: -2.24% |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.371 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.679 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.833 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.192 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.93% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.396 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): -0.90 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -5.59% |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.95 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.192 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.93% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.396 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): -0.90 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -5.59% |
| 2026-07-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.396 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): -0.90 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -5.59% |
| 2026-06-29 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.396 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.192 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.93% |
| 2026-06-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.192 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.80 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.195 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.96% |
| 2026-06-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.195 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.80 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.079 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.48% · 1-day return: -0.48% · Beta (60d): -0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.16% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.80 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.398 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.46% · 1-day return: -2.46% · Beta (60d): -0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.74% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.376 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): -0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.90% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.376 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): -0.78 · Sector return (1d): 0.57% · Sector return: 0.57% · Borrowed drop: -2.74% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.386 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.51% · 1-day return: -1.51% · Beta (60d): -0.88 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.56% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.423 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): -0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.30% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.423 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): -0.89 · Sector return (1d): -0.37% · Sector return: -0.37% · Borrowed drop: -3.34% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.374 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.40% · 1-day return: -2.40% · Beta (60d): -0.90 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.40% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.379 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.40% · 1-day return: -2.40% · Beta (60d): -0.90 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.40% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.382 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.40% · 1-day return: -2.40% · Beta (60d): -0.90 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.40% |
| 2026-06-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.436 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): -0.98 · Sector return (1d): 0.83% · Sector return: 0.83% · Borrowed drop: -2.98% |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.115 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.72% · 1-day return: -3.72% · Beta (60d): -0.92 · Sector return (1d): 1.07% · Sector return: 1.07% · Borrowed drop: -2.74% |