MTG
MGIC Investment Corporation
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
49
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.244confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 4.1% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.31 (extreme)ret_20d -0.5% (holding)dist_52w_low +24.2% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
4.07
Days To Cover
5.31
Ret 20d
-0.00
Dist 52w Low
0.24
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.244confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-2.4%rsi_divergence:51momentum_rollover:-2.5%rel_vol:0.08sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.02
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
51.17
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.02
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 21as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:rvol_pctile 2.4 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
2.39
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.757confluence: 0days: 51as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.1%failure_vol:weak:0.83sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.03
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.14%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
3 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
12 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/3 directionally right · mean +5.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-09-01 → open8 bars
+0.6%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-19 → open17 bars
-0.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-21 → open38 bars
-2.6%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+4.9%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-06-155 bars
+0.4%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-07-1628 bars
+9.7%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+20.1%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.17 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 4.07 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.102 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.56 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.757 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 2.39 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.864 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.80 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.235 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.69 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.631 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.507 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.227 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.306 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.312 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.311 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.322 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.325 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.334 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.334 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-29 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.339 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.77 · Days To Cover: 5.05 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.623 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.337 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.337 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.337 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.394 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.436 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.73% · 1-day return: -0.73% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.73% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.041 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.19% · 1-day return: -0.19% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.120 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.46% · 1-day return: -0.46% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.745 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.15% · 1-day return: 2.15% · Beta (60d): -0.03 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.036 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.12% · 1-day return: 0.12% · Beta (60d): 0.00 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.302 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.33% · 1-day return: 1.33% · Beta (60d): -0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |