SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
Screener candidate detail · 5 active archetypes
Active
5
archetypes
History
39
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.546confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -3.8%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.17pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.58×+1.0%=-0.6pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.75%
1-day return
-3.75%
Beta (60d)
-0.58
Sector return (1d)
1.01%
Sector return
1.01%
Borrowed drop
-3.17%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.546confluence: 2days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.168 >= 0.1)earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.17
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N1 · Distribution Topprimednew
score: 0.662confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.9%rsi_divergence:50momentum_rollover:-1.6%rel_vol:0.17sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
49.76
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.02
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.180confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.7%failure_vol:weak:0.09sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.66%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 15as of 2026-07-10
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.33
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
3 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
9 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/3 directionally right · mean +2.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+2.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
+1.1%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-29 → 2026-07-1411 bars
+0.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+3.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → open33 bars
-4.7%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.2%closed
3 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.662 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.76 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.546 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): -0.58 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.546 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.662 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.180 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.926 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.296 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.25% · 1-day return: -3.25% · Beta (60d): -0.64 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -2.60% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.696 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.296 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.25% · 1-day return: -3.25% · Beta (60d): -0.64 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -2.60% |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.16 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.696 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.151 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.151 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.151 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.151 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.151 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.151 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.375 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.375 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.35% · 1-day return: -0.35% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.281 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.281 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.65% · 1-day return: -0.65% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.041 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.08% · 1-day return: 0.08% · Beta (60d): -0.27 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.145 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.31% · 1-day return: 0.31% · Beta (60d): -0.27 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.158 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.15% · 1-day return: -0.15% · Beta (60d): -0.27 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.250 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.54% · 1-day return: 0.54% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |