PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
26
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.518confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.07 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 11 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.20
Sma Dist 200
-0.20
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.518confluence: 1days: 30as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:short_pct:unavailabledays_to_cover 5.55 (extreme)ret_20d -13.4% (falling)dist_52w_low +6.2% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
—
Days To Cover
5.55
Ret 20d
-0.13
Dist 52w Low
0.06
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.340confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -3.0%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.88pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.20×-0.8%=-0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.04%
1-day return
-3.04%
Beta (60d)
0.20
Sector return (1d)
-0.80%
Sector return
-0.80%
Borrowed drop
-2.88%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
4 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
4 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/1 directionally right · mean +3.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+1.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-2.2%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-20 → open16 bars
+13.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-14 → 2026-08-172 bars
+3.4%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-13 → open21 bars
-10.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-10 → open24 bars
-15.5%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.07 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 11 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.12 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 43 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.495 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.152 | 2 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.495 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.22 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 44 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.294 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.340 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Sector return (1d): -0.80% · Sector return: -0.80% · Borrowed drop: -2.88% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.340 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.570 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.62% · 1-day return: -5.62% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.47% · Sector return: 0.47% · Borrowed drop: -5.74% |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.293 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.55 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.56 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.294 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.294 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.36 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.296 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.36 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.570 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.62% · 1-day return: -5.62% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.47% · Sector return: 0.47% · Borrowed drop: -5.74% |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.570 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.62% · 1-day return: -5.62% · Beta (60d): 0.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.47% · Sector return: 0.47% · Borrowed drop: -5.74% |
| 2026-08-12 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.152 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |