VLY
Valley Bank
Screener candidate detail · 7 active archetypes
Active
7
archetypes
History
52
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.344confluence: 3days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.1%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.64pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.54×-0.9%=-0.5pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.11%
1-day return
-3.11%
Beta (60d)
0.54
Sector return (1d)
-0.87%
Sector return
-0.87%
Borrowed drop
-2.64%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialpersisting
score: 0.133confluence: 3days: 4as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passtwin:FNBcorrelation:0.86spread_z:-2.02laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
FNB
Pair Correlation
0.86
Pair Spread Z
-2.02
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.184confluence: 2days: 38as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.7%rsi_divergence:49momentum_rollover:-3.2%rel_vol:0.30sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
49.41
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.03
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.180confluence: 2days: 26as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.33
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.382confluence: 1days: 47as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.4%failure_vol:weak:0.24sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.41%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 55as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 7.9% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 7.52 (extreme)ret_20d -2.5% (holding)dist_52w_low +62.1% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
7.90
Days To Cover
7.52
Ret 20d
-0.03
Dist 52w Low
0.62
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_miss:partial (-0.032 in (-0.1,-0.03))earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
-0.03
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
-0.10
Partial Floor
-0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_miss_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125 (shared PEAD evidence; miss tail: −1.42%/−1.62% at 5d/10d). DISTINCT FROM A1 short-side equivalent — N6 fires on the MISS regardless of whether price gapped (continuation, not reversal). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Confirmed
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
4 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/2 directionally right · mean +1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-0.8%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-22 → open4 bars
-1.3%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+2.4%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-06 → open16 bars
-0.1%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-18 → open26 bars
-5.2%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+0.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → open34 bars
-3.5%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open36 bars
+7.5%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.90 · Days To Cover: 7.52 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.62 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.180 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-24 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.184 | 2 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.41 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.133 | 3 | persisting | Pair Twin: FNB · Pair Correlation: 0.86 · Pair Spread Z: -2.02 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.133 | 3 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.03 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.133 | 3 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.90 · Days To Cover: 7.52 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.62 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.133 | 3 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.367 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 48.68 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.344 | 3 | new | 1-day return: -3.11% · 1-day return: -3.11% · Beta (60d): 0.54 · Sector return (1d): -0.87% · Sector return: -0.87% · Borrowed drop: -2.64% |
| 2026-07-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.344 | 3 | persisting | Pair Twin: FNB · Pair Correlation: 0.86 · Pair Spread Z: -2.22 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.367 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.63 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-22 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.24 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.64 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.188 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.382 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.282 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: FNB · Pair Correlation: 0.86 · Pair Spread Z: -2.07 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.282 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.66 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.66 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.194 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.194 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.69 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.194 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.72 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.68 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.188 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.188 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.42 · Days To Cover: 5.29 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.65 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.188 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.351 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.41% · 1-day return: -0.41% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.41% |
| 2026-07-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.193 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.193 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.199 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.408 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.57 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.210 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: FNB · Pair Correlation: 0.86 · Pair Spread Z: 2.29 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.210 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.351 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.41% · 1-day return: -0.41% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.41% |
| 2026-07-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.217 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.496 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.351 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.351 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.41% · 1-day return: -0.41% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.41% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.372 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.372 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.41% · 1-day return: -0.41% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.39% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.639 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.639 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.41% · 1-day return: -0.41% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.18% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.636 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.29% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.686 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.29% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.752 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.29% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.271 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.65% · 1-day return: 0.65% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.591 | 2 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.66 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.591 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.06% · 1-day return: -2.06% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.441 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.218 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |