DAL
Delta Air Lines
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
35
rows
Days on list
6
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.013confluence: 2days: 6as of 2026-07-20
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.047 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_10d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.05
Days Since Earnings
10.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:rvol_pctile 6.0 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
5.98
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
5 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
6 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
6 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/5 directionally right · mean +1.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-16 → open7 bars
+1.2%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-14 → open10 bars
+1.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+0.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+9.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-12 → 2026-07-0716 bars
-9.6%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+8.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.1%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.085 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.38% · 1-day return: -3.38% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.82% |
| 2026-07-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.75 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-20 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.013 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.013 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.73 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-17 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.026 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.307 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.015 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.000 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.55 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.085 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.38% · 1-day return: -3.38% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.82% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.946 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.50% · 1-day return: 0.50% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.02% |
| 2026-07-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.085 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.38% · 1-day return: -3.38% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.82% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.946 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.50% · 1-day return: 0.50% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.02% |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.307 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.946 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.50% · 1-day return: 0.50% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.02% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.014 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -5.96% · 1-day return: -5.96% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.739 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.32% · 1-day return: 2.32% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.32% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.744 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.32% · 1-day return: 2.32% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.32% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.750 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.32% · 1-day return: 2.32% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.32% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.816 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.69% · 1-day return: 2.69% · Beta (60d): 1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.021 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.503 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 1.70 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.014 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.96% · 1-day return: -5.96% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.644 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.644 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.11% · 1-day return: -1.11% · Beta (60d): 1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.548 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.21% · 1-day return: 1.21% · Beta (60d): 1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.179 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.014 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.96% · 1-day return: -5.96% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.69 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |