BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
46
rows
Days on list
4
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.633confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.42 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -22.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 28 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.23
Sma Dist 200
-0.23
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 14as of 2026-08-25
Triggers:short_pct 10.8% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.93 (extreme)ret_20d -23.6% (falling)dist_52w_low +9.4% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
10.77
Days To Cover
5.93
Ret 20d
-0.24
Dist 52w Low
0.09
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
4 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
12 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
6 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/6 directionally right · mean +4.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-09 → open3 bars
+3.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-9.2%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-13 → 2026-08-2711 bars
+1.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-07 → 2026-08-2010 bars
-5.5%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-28 → open33 bars
-35.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-2212 bars
-2.8%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
+1.3%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+1.2%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2917 bars
+28.5%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.633 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.42 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -22.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 28 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.747 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.01% · 1-day return: -4.01% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Sector return (1d): 1.38% · Sector return: 1.38% · Borrowed drop: -4.64% |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.680 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.37 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 26 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.567 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.37 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -21.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 29 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.504 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.38 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.747 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.01% · 1-day return: -4.01% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Sector return (1d): 1.38% · Sector return: 1.38% · Borrowed drop: -4.64% |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.734 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.36% · 1-day return: -5.36% · Beta (60d): 0.45 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -4.58% |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.520 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.72% · 1-day return: -3.72% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.52% |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.01% · 1-day return: -4.01% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -3.85% |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.24 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.23 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.25 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.27 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.01% · 1-day return: -4.01% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -3.85% |
| 2026-08-18 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.31 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.149 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 0.36 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -2.68% |
| 2026-08-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.149 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.27 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.27 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.25 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-12 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 10.77 · Days To Cover: 5.93 · Ret 20d: -0.22 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.41% · 1-day return: -3.41% · Beta (60d): 0.32 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -3.30% |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.425 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.30% · 1-day return: -3.30% · Beta (60d): 0.34 · Sector return (1d): -0.16% · Sector return: -0.16% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.997 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -20.81% · 1-day return: -20.81% · Beta (60d): 0.30 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -20.68% |
| 2026-08-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: 14.09 · Days To Cover: 5.06 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.312 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -2.65% |
| 2026-08-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-29 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.312 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -2.65% |
| 2026-07-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 14.09 · Days To Cover: 5.06 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.43% · 1-day return: -0.43% · Beta (60d): 1.26 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.43% · 1-day return: -0.43% · Beta (60d): 1.26 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.473 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.43% · 1-day return: -0.43% · Beta (60d): 1.26 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.89% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.616 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.36% · 1-day return: -5.36% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.86% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.879 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 7.33% · 1-day return: 7.33% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 7.33% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.930 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 7.33% · 1-day return: 7.33% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 7.33% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.995 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 7.33% · 1-day return: 7.33% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 7.33% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.988 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 7.08% · 1-day return: 7.08% · Beta (60d): 1.40 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.47% · 1-day return: -0.47% · Beta (60d): 1.36 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.310 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.72% · 1-day return: -0.72% · Beta (60d): 1.44 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.94% · 1-day return: 0.94% · Beta (60d): 1.44 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.600 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.31% · 1-day return: 1.31% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |