DIS
The Walt Disney Company
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
29
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.343confluence: 2days: 5as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.3%failure_vol:weak:0.70sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.21
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.28%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N5 · Revision Collapseprimedpersisting
score: 0.343confluence: 2days: 2as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:analyst_cluster:cluster_downpt_revision_down:-886.8%downtrend:sma_dist_200 -7.9%downtrend:ret_20d -5.6%
Dislocation:
Analyst Cluster State
cluster_down
Pt Change 30d Pct
-8.87%
Negative Pt Trail
Yes
Downtrend Confirmed
Yes
Sma Downtrend
Yes
Ret Downtrend
Yes
Sma Dist 200
-0.08
Ret 20d
-0.06
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialnew
score: 0.021confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.62 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.11
Sma Dist 200
-0.11
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/3 directionally right · mean -1.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-24 → open2 bars
-3.6%open · MTM
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-07-21 → open5 bars
-1.9%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-20 → open6 bars
+0.9%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-2.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-15 → 2026-06-225 bars
-3.8%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.1%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.021 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.62 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.343 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.343 | 2 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -8.87% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.504 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.504 | 2 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -8.87% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.887 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.422 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.785 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.75% · 1-day return: 0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.65% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.785 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.75% · 1-day return: 0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.65% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.422 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.785 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.75% · 1-day return: 0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.65% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.790 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.36% · 1-day return: -2.36% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.69% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.434 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.40% · 1-day return: -1.40% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.07% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.824 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.96% · 1-day return: 2.96% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.96% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.829 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.96% · 1-day return: 2.96% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.96% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.835 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.96% · 1-day return: 2.96% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.96% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.367 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.90% · 1-day return: 0.90% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.422 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.422 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.42% · 1-day return: -0.42% · Beta (60d): 0.96 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.393 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.393 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.40% · 1-day return: -0.40% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.684 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.64% · 1-day return: 1.64% · Beta (60d): 0.90 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.282 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.427 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.400 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |