CF
CF Industries
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
33
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.651confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -4.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.12pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.81×+0.3%=-0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.32%
1-day return
-4.32%
Beta (60d)
-0.81
Sector return (1d)
0.25%
Sector return
0.25%
Borrowed drop
-4.12%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 17as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:rvol_pctile 19.9 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
19.92
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
6 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
2 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/4 directionally right · mean -2.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
+3.7%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-09 → open13 bars
+3.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-02 → 2026-07-062 bars
-0.6%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+4.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-189 bars
-8.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
-4.1%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.651 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.32% · 1-day return: -4.32% · Beta (60d): -0.81 · Sector return (1d): 0.25% · Sector return: 0.25% · Borrowed drop: -4.12% |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.399 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.51% · 1-day return: -3.51% · Beta (60d): -1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.32% · Sector return: 0.32% · Borrowed drop: -3.15% |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.193 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.399 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.51% · 1-day return: -3.51% · Beta (60d): -1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.32% · Sector return: 0.32% · Borrowed drop: -3.15% |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.345 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.24% · 1-day return: -0.24% · Beta (60d): -1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.79% |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.12 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.345 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.24% · 1-day return: -0.24% · Beta (60d): -1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.79% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.193 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.522 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.22% · 1-day return: -3.22% · Beta (60d): -1.68 · Sector return (1d): 1.03% · Sector return: 1.03% · Borrowed drop: -1.49% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.345 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.24% · 1-day return: -0.24% · Beta (60d): -1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.79% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.097 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.47% · 1-day return: -0.47% · Beta (60d): -1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.21% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.847 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -1.50 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.19% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.522 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.22% · 1-day return: -3.22% · Beta (60d): -1.68 · Sector return (1d): 1.03% · Sector return: 1.03% · Borrowed drop: -1.49% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.036 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.12% · 1-day return: -0.12% · Beta (60d): -1.63 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.08% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.802 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.80% · 1-day return: -2.80% · Beta (60d): -1.62 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.80% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.812 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.80% · 1-day return: -2.80% · Beta (60d): -1.62 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.80% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.820 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.80% · 1-day return: -2.80% · Beta (60d): -1.62 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.80% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.792 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.53% · 1-day return: -2.53% · Beta (60d): -1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.131 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): -1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.498 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.23% · 1-day return: -1.23% · Beta (60d): -1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.522 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.22% · 1-day return: -3.22% · Beta (60d): -1.68 · Sector return (1d): 1.03% · Sector return: 1.03% · Borrowed drop: -1.49% |
| 2026-06-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.548 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.07% · 1-day return: -3.07% · Beta (60d): -1.71 · Sector return (1d): 0.83% · Sector return: 0.83% · Borrowed drop: -1.65% |
| 2026-06-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.744 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): -1.79 · Sector return (1d): -1.33% · Sector return: -1.33% · Borrowed drop: -6.01% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.878 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): -2.08 · Sector return (1d): -1.94% · Sector return: -1.94% · Borrowed drop: -7.52% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.938 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): -2.08 · Sector return (1d): -1.94% · Sector return: -1.94% · Borrowed drop: -7.52% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |