LULU
Lululemon Athletica
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
31
rows
Days on list
2
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.859confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-09
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.90 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 58 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.31
Sma Dist 200
-0.31
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.372confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:ret_1d -3.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.02pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.74×-0.6%=-0.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.43%
1-day return
-3.43%
Beta (60d)
0.74
Sector return (1d)
-0.55%
Sector return
-0.55%
Borrowed drop
-3.02%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:rvol_pctile 15.9 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
15.94
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
2 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/5 directionally right · mean -5.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+5.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-22 → open4 bars
+4.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-14 → open10 bars
+2.3%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-09 → 2026-07-133 bars
-5.9%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → open14 bars
-5.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-06 → 2026-07-083 bars
-1.5%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
-0.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-9.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-2415 bars
-9.5%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.372 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.43% · 1-day return: -3.43% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): -0.55% · Sector return: -0.55% · Borrowed drop: -3.02% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.433 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.52 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.395 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.40% · 1-day return: -3.40% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.395 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.40% · 1-day return: -3.40% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Sector return (1d): -0.28% · Sector return: -0.28% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.97% · 1-day return: -3.97% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -3.48% |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.106 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.79% · 1-day return: -0.79% · Beta (60d): 1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-07-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.859 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.90 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 58 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.870 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.88 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 66 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.433 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.52 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.97% · 1-day return: -3.97% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -3.48% |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.106 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.79% · 1-day return: -0.79% · Beta (60d): 1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.608 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.84% · 1-day return: -5.84% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -2.46% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.106 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.79% · 1-day return: -0.79% · Beta (60d): 1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.608 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.84% · 1-day return: -5.84% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.26% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.608 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.84% · 1-day return: -5.84% · Beta (60d): 1.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -2.46% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.005 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.01% · 1-day return: 0.01% · Beta (60d): 1.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.01% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.005 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.01% · 1-day return: 0.01% · Beta (60d): 1.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.01% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.005 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.01% · 1-day return: 0.01% · Beta (60d): 1.71 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.01% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.263 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.62% · 1-day return: 0.62% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.522 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.522 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: 1.11% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.267 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.61% · 1-day return: -0.61% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.694 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.95% · 1-day return: -8.95% · Beta (60d): 1.66 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -5.52% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.694 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.95% · 1-day return: -8.95% · Beta (60d): 1.66 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -5.52% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |