TAP
Molson Coors Beverage Company
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
50
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.698confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -4.2%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.26pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.11×-0.7%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.19%
1-day return
-4.19%
Beta (60d)
-0.11
Sector return (1d)
-0.66%
Sector return
-0.66%
Borrowed drop
-4.26%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 85as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 17.6% (extreme)days_to_cover 11.22 (extreme)ret_20d -7.8% (falling)dist_52w_low +1.3% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
17.56
Days To Cover
11.22
Ret 20d
-0.08
Dist 52w Low
0.01
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
7 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
9 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 6/11 directionally right · mean -0.2%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-0.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → 2026-09-022 bars
+0.2%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-26 → open12 bars
+8.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-203 bars
+2.5%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-186 bars
-1.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-123 bars
-1.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
-0.8%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-15 → 2026-07-173 bars
-8.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-06 → 2026-07-083 bars
+3.4%closed
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-06-232 bars
-2.6%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
-5.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-07-019 bars
+0.8%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-258 bars
+0.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-12 → 2026-07-0113 bars
+5.9%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.207 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 17.56 · Days To Cover: 11.22 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.885 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.698 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.19% · 1-day return: -4.19% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Sector return (1d): -0.66% · Sector return: -0.66% · Borrowed drop: -4.26% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.698 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.526 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.51% · 1-day return: -3.51% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Sector return (1d): -0.12% · Sector return: -0.12% · Borrowed drop: -3.55% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.526 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.207 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 16.05 · Days To Cover: 10.12 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.08 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.885 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.475 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.96% · 1-day return: -3.96% · Beta (60d): -0.40 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -4.17% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.475 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.96% · 1-day return: -3.96% · Beta (60d): -0.40 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -4.17% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.557 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.86% · 1-day return: -4.86% · Beta (60d): -0.38 · Sector return (1d): -1.65% · Sector return: -1.65% · Borrowed drop: -5.49% |
| 2026-08-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.30 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.207 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.209 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.376 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.211 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.213 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.324 | 3 | new | 1-day return: -3.33% · 1-day return: -3.33% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Sector return (1d): -0.64% · Sector return: -0.64% · Borrowed drop: -3.61% |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.216 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.553 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): -0.50 · Sector return (1d): -2.53% · Sector return: -2.53% · Borrowed drop: -4.90% |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.553 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): -0.50 · Sector return (1d): -2.53% · Sector return: -2.53% · Borrowed drop: -4.90% |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.376 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.342 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.87% · 1-day return: -3.87% · Beta (60d): -0.37 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -4.50% |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.30 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.376 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.582 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.342 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.87% · 1-day return: -3.87% · Beta (60d): -0.37 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -4.50% |
| 2026-07-07 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.033 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.18% · 1-day return: 0.18% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.14% |
| 2026-06-30 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.033 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.18% · 1-day return: 0.18% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.14% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.582 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.033 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.18% · 1-day return: 0.18% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.14% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.185 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.89% · 1-day return: 0.89% · Beta (60d): -0.30 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.89% |
| 2026-06-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.30 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.185 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.89% · 1-day return: 0.89% · Beta (60d): -0.30 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.89% |
| 2026-06-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.185 | 2 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.30 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.184 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.89% · 1-day return: 0.89% · Beta (60d): -0.30 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.89% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.373 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.92% · 1-day return: 0.92% · Beta (60d): -0.31 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.805 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.89% · 1-day return: -3.89% · Beta (60d): -0.30 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.423 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.423 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.71% · 1-day return: -0.71% · Beta (60d): -0.39 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.694 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.67% · 1-day return: -1.67% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.244 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |