MCO
Moody's Corporation
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
31
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.474confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.6%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.61pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.05×-0.4%=-0.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.63%
1-day return
-3.63%
Beta (60d)
0.05
Sector return (1d)
-0.39%
Sector return
-0.39%
Borrowed drop
-3.61%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.445confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.101 >= 0.1)earnings_5d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.10
Days Since Earnings
5.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
3 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
4 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/5 directionally right · mean +1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+2.1%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+2.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+1.4%closed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-24 → 2026-06-263 bars
+1.8%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-06-244 bars
-0.3%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-258 bars
+2.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.445 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.10 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.10 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.474 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.63% · 1-day return: -3.63% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Sector return (1d): -0.39% · Sector return: -0.39% · Borrowed drop: -3.61% |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.474 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.10 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.331 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.77% |
| 2026-07-22 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.525 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: SPGI · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.23 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.152 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.331 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.77% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.331 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.77% |
| 2026-07-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.525 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: SPGI · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.23 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.147 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.36 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.33% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.152 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.147 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.36 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.33% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.525 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: SPGI · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.23 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.147 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.36 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.33% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.152 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.283 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.74% · 1-day return: -0.74% · Beta (60d): 0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.65% |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.475 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.475 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.22% · 1-day return: -1.22% · Beta (60d): 0.28 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.22% |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.477 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.477 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.22% · 1-day return: -1.22% · Beta (60d): 0.28 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.22% |
| 2026-06-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.716 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.716 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.22% · 1-day return: -1.22% · Beta (60d): 0.28 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.22% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.400 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.400 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.96% · 1-day return: -0.96% · Beta (60d): 0.30 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.858 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.64% · 1-day return: -2.64% · Beta (60d): 0.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.861 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.11% · 1-day return: 3.11% · Beta (60d): 0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |