NDAQ
Nasdaq, Inc.
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
36
rows
Days on list
4
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.403confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.092 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.09
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.004confluence: 1days: 10as of 2026-07-01
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.55 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -8.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 91 >= 60 (elevated)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.09
Sma Dist 200
-0.09
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
6 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
6 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/6 directionally right · mean -1.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → open15 bars
-11.2%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-07-0610 bars
-1.0%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
-0.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-17 → 2026-06-223 bars
+5.9%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-13.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+0.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-042 bars
+0.8%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.403 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.09 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.387 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.09 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.913 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.455 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.17% · 1-day return: 1.17% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.913 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.314 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.455 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.17% · 1-day return: 1.17% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.574 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.12 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.920 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.96% · 1-day return: -6.96% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -0.55% · Sector return: -0.55% · Borrowed drop: -6.56% |
| 2026-07-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.004 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.55 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -8.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 91 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-30 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.031 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.57 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 94 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-29 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.089 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.54 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 92 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.037 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.63 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 94 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.022 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.63 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 94 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.455 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.17% · 1-day return: 1.17% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.12% |
| 2026-06-26 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.455 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.63 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 94 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.239 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.79% · 1-day return: -0.79% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.54% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.239 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.66 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -8.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 90 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.512 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.07% · 1-day return: -1.07% · Beta (60d): 0.63 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.30% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.920 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.96% · 1-day return: -6.96% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -0.55% · Sector return: -0.55% · Borrowed drop: -6.56% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.344 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.80% · 1-day return: -0.80% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.81% |
| 2026-06-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.344 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.67 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -8.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 90 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.490 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.27% · 1-day return: -1.27% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.27% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.494 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.27% · 1-day return: -1.27% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.27% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.497 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.27% · 1-day return: -1.27% · Beta (60d): 0.66 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.27% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.225 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.53% · 1-day return: -0.53% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.574 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.12 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.920 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -6.96% · 1-day return: -6.96% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -0.55% · Sector return: -0.55% · Borrowed drop: -6.56% |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.840 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.11 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.766 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -5.42% · 1-day return: -5.42% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.766 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.42% · 1-day return: -5.42% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.766 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.42% · 1-day return: -5.42% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |