FCFS
FirstCash
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
4
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.224confluence: 2days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 5.0% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.11 (extreme)ret_20d -2.7% (holding)dist_52w_low +73.9% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
4.97
Days To Cover
5.11
Ret 20d
-0.03
Dist 52w Low
0.74
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.224confluence: 2days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.046 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.05
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.798confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -5.6%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -5.23pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.90×-0.4%=-0.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.58%
1-day return
-5.58%
Beta (60d)
0.90
Sector return (1d)
-0.39%
Sector return
-0.39%
Borrowed drop
-5.23%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
6 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
7 days
N1 · Distribution Top
6 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +0.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+3.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
-1.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+0.9%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-2.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+1.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → open33 bars
+8.5%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-05 → open35 bars
+7.6%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.7%closed
2 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.224 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.224 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.97 · Days To Cover: 5.11 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.74 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.046 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.05 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.046 | 2 | new | Short Pct Float: 4.97 · Days To Cover: 5.11 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.64 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.174 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.87 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.798 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.58% · 1-day return: -5.58% · Beta (60d): 0.90 · Sector return (1d): -0.39% · Sector return: -0.39% · Borrowed drop: -5.23% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.291 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.653 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.58% · 1-day return: -3.58% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -4.23% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.031 | 2 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.86 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.653 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.58% · 1-day return: -3.58% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -4.23% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.695 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -2.22% · 1-day return: -2.22% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.22% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.291 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.273 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.47% · 1-day return: -3.47% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.40% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.497 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.695 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -2.22% · 1-day return: -2.22% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.22% |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.072 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.695 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.22% · 1-day return: -2.22% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.22% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.694 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.22% · 1-day return: -2.22% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.904 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.22% · 1-day return: -2.22% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.96% |
| 2026-06-25 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.174 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.87 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.031 | 2 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.86 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.711 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.09% · 1-day return: -2.09% · Beta (60d): 0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.19% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.914 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -7.99% · 1-day return: -7.99% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.44% · Sector return: -0.44% · Borrowed drop: -7.98% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.691 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.38% · 1-day return: -2.38% · Beta (60d): 0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.06% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.503 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.29% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.504 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.29% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.506 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): 0.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.29% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.424 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.064 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.914 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.99% · 1-day return: -7.99% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.44% · Sector return: -0.44% · Borrowed drop: -7.98% |
| 2026-06-16 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.471 | 2 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.39 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: 0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-06-15 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.470 | 2 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.48 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: 0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.421 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.436 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.15 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: 0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.600 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.99% · 1-day return: -7.99% · Beta (60d): 0.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.44% · Sector return: -0.44% · Borrowed drop: -7.98% |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.681 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.031 | 2 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.67 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.031 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.86 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.85 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |