MSM
MSC Industrial Direct
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
54
rows
Days on list
98
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.720confluence: 0days: 98as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.8%failure_vol:weak:1.03sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.06
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.79%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
N1 · Distribution Top
9 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/5 directionally right · mean +0.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
+0.5%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-23 → open36 bars
-8.8%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-08 → open47 bars
+1.4%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-06 → 2026-07-147 bars
+1.6%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.0%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-10 → 2026-06-176 bars
-2.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-05 → open68 bars
+0.6%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.16 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.720 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.724 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.306 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.536 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.746 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.16 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.553 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 47.48 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.098 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -0.93% |
| 2026-08-11 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.06 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: 0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-08-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 50.67 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-08-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.212 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.36 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.668 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.601 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.098 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -0.93% |
| 2026-07-31 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.437 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.34 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-30 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.829 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 49.50 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-07-29 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.098 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 48.21 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.098 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -0.93% |
| 2026-07-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.212 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.658 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.356 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.00% · 1-day return: -1.00% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.00% |
| 2026-07-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-09 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-08 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.211 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.67 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.209 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.211 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.00% · 1-day return: -1.00% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.00% |
| 2026-07-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.214 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.405 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.00% · 1-day return: -1.00% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.00% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.00% · 1-day return: -1.00% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.97% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.915 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.00% · 1-day return: -1.00% · Beta (60d): 0.87 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.15% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.029 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.06% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.023 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.98% · 1-day return: -0.98% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.05% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.287 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.66% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.811 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.85% · 1-day return: 2.85% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.85% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.817 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.85% · 1-day return: 2.85% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.85% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |