IBM
IBM
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
35
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:rvol_pctile 19.9 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
19.92
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.954confluence: 0days: 18as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-2.5%failure_vol:weak:1.11sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.28
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-2.50%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
5 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
12 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/4 directionally right · mean -4.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-04 → open5 bars
+3.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-25 → open13 bars
-4.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → 2026-07-173 bars
-0.8%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
-1.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2313 bars
-12.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-4.7%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.954 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.139 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.652 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.803 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.999 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -28.75% · 1-day return: -28.75% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Sector return (1d): 0.26% · Sector return: 0.26% · Borrowed drop: -28.88% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.999 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -28.75% · 1-day return: -28.75% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Sector return (1d): 0.26% · Sector return: 0.26% · Borrowed drop: -28.88% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.30 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.999 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -28.75% · 1-day return: -28.75% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Sector return (1d): 0.26% · Sector return: 0.26% · Borrowed drop: -28.88% |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 1.000 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -29.05% · 1-day return: -29.05% · Beta (60d): 0.31 · Sector return (1d): 1.28% · Sector return: 1.28% · Borrowed drop: -29.45% |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.399 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.95% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.923 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): 2.99% · Sector return: 2.99% · Borrowed drop: -7.40% |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.399 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.95% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.923 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): 2.99% · Sector return: 2.99% · Borrowed drop: -7.40% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.30 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.399 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.95% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.215 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.48% · 1-day return: -0.48% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.49% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.923 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.18% |
| 2026-06-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.923 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): 2.99% · Sector return: 2.99% · Borrowed drop: -7.40% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.926 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.18% |
| 2026-06-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.926 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): 2.99% · Sector return: 2.99% · Borrowed drop: -7.40% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.928 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.18% |
| 2026-06-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.928 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.18% · 1-day return: -5.18% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Sector return (1d): 2.99% · Sector return: 2.99% · Borrowed drop: -7.40% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.958 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.45% · 1-day return: -6.45% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.958 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.45% · 1-day return: -6.45% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Sector return (1d): 2.33% · Sector return: 2.33% · Borrowed drop: -8.30% |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.632 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.632 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Sector return (1d): -0.34% · Sector return: -0.34% · Borrowed drop: -2.88% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.336 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.582 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.31% · 1-day return: -1.31% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.441 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.95% · 1-day return: -0.95% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.076 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.77% · 1-day return: -5.77% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 1.16% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.30 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.449 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.30 · Dist 52w Low: 0.42 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |