ARES
Ares Management
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
55
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.326confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-09-01
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.2%failure_vol:weak:0.12sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.21
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.23%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.247confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.1%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.39pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.72×-0.4%=-0.7pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.11%
1-day return
-3.11%
Beta (60d)
1.72
Sector return (1d)
-0.42%
Sector return
-0.42%
Borrowed drop
-2.39%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 7.2% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 8.49 (extreme)ret_20d -12.4% (falling)dist_52w_low +40.0% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
7.19
Days To Cover
8.49
Ret 20d
-0.12
Dist 52w Low
0.40
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
15 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/7 directionally right · mean -5.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-28 → open10 bars
+6.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-17 → 2026-08-182 bars
-1.5%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
-1.8%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-222 bars
-0.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+1.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
-0.7%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-21.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-3018 bars
-13.4%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
+4.0%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.19 · Days To Cover: 8.49 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.40 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.39 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.247 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.11% · 1-day return: -3.11% · Beta (60d): 1.72 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -2.39% |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.247 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.326 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.48 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.055 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.014 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.389 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 1.62 · Sector return (1d): -0.17% · Sector return: -0.17% · Borrowed drop: -3.42% |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.293 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.61 · Days To Cover: 5.80 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.36 · Days To Cover: 6.08 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.36 · Days To Cover: 6.08 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.389 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 1.62 · Sector return (1d): -0.17% · Sector return: -0.17% · Borrowed drop: -3.42% |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.36 · Days To Cover: 6.08 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.389 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 1.62 · Sector return (1d): -0.17% · Sector return: -0.17% · Borrowed drop: -3.42% |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.342 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -0.39% · Sector return: -0.39% · Borrowed drop: -2.85% |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.342 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -0.39% · Sector return: -0.39% · Borrowed drop: -2.85% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.420 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.35 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.342 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -0.39% · Sector return: -0.39% · Borrowed drop: -2.85% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.429 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.01% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.429 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 0.22% · Sector return: 0.22% · Borrowed drop: -3.45% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.420 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.35 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.429 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.01% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.429 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 0.22% · Sector return: 0.22% · Borrowed drop: -3.45% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.857 | 3 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.429 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.01% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.429 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 0.22% · Sector return: 0.22% · Borrowed drop: -3.45% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.424 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.94% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.424 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 0.22% · Sector return: 0.22% · Borrowed drop: -3.45% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.488 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -10.08% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.488 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 0.22% · Sector return: 0.22% · Borrowed drop: -3.45% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.580 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.89% · 1-day return: -5.89% · Beta (60d): 1.70 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.51% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.580 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.89% · 1-day return: -5.89% · Beta (60d): 1.70 · Sector return (1d): -0.30% · Sector return: -0.30% · Borrowed drop: -5.38% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.668 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.15% · 1-day return: -4.15% · Beta (60d): 1.62 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.21% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.668 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.15% · 1-day return: -4.15% · Beta (60d): 1.62 · Sector return (1d): 0.33% · Sector return: 0.33% · Borrowed drop: -4.69% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.683 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.70% · 1-day return: -2.70% · Beta (60d): 1.41 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.24% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.549 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.77% · 1-day return: 0.77% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.77% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.598 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.77% · 1-day return: 0.77% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.77% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.661 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.77% · 1-day return: 0.77% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.77% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.419 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.05% · 1-day return: 1.05% · Beta (60d): 1.40 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.857 | 3 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.857 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.04% · 1-day return: -5.04% · Beta (60d): 1.40 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.857 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.04% · 1-day return: -5.04% · Beta (60d): 1.40 · Sector return (1d): -0.55% · Sector return: -0.55% · Borrowed drop: -4.26% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.133 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.28% · 1-day return: -0.28% · Beta (60d): 1.32 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.177 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.34% · 1-day return: 0.34% · Beta (60d): 1.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |