SAM
Boston Beer Company
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
47
rows
Days on list
7
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.337confluence: 1days: 7as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta -0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.17
Sma Dist 200
-0.17
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-08-26
Triggers:rvol_pctile 17.1 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
17.13
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 85as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 21.0% (extreme)days_to_cover 8.87 (extreme)ret_20d -8.2% (falling)dist_52w_low +5.7% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
20.99
Days To Cover
8.87
Ret 20d
-0.08
Dist 52w Low
0.06
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
4 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/9 directionally right · mean +0.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-08 → open4 bars
-0.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-21 → 2026-08-253 bars
+1.7%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-288 bars
-1.0%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-18 → open18 bars
+7.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-122 bars
-0.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-22 → 2026-07-274 bars
+6.0%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-09 → 2026-08-0318 bars
-3.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-06 → 2026-07-083 bars
+0.9%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
-7.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-07-019 bars
+3.0%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-17 → 2026-06-223 bars
-1.6%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+1.5%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.99 · Days To Cover: 8.87 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.337 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.337 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.44 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.528 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.528 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.41 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.918 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.521 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.85% · 1-day return: -3.85% · Beta (60d): -0.57 · Sector return (1d): 0.51% · Sector return: 0.51% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.376 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.376 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.38 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 27 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.521 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.85% · 1-day return: -3.85% · Beta (60d): -0.57 · Sector return (1d): 0.51% · Sector return: 0.51% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.86 · Days To Cover: 7.64 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.918 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.521 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.85% · 1-day return: -3.85% · Beta (60d): -0.57 · Sector return (1d): 0.51% · Sector return: 0.51% · Borrowed drop: -3.56% |
| 2026-08-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.298 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.298 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.359 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): -0.68 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.19% |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.359 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): -0.68 · Sector return (1d): -0.20% · Sector return: -0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.19% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.425 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.77% · 1-day return: -4.77% · Beta (60d): -0.68 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -5.88% |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.339 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.425 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.77% · 1-day return: -4.77% · Beta (60d): -0.68 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -5.88% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.425 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.77% · 1-day return: -4.77% · Beta (60d): -0.68 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -5.88% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.382 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.32 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.626 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.47% · 1-day return: -5.47% · Beta (60d): -0.81 · Sector return (1d): -0.95% · Sector return: -0.95% · Borrowed drop: -6.23% |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.541 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.16% · 1-day return: -3.16% · Beta (60d): -0.64 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -4.23% |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.408 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.764 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 2.41% · 1-day return: 2.41% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.41% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.405 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.32 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.764 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 2.41% · 1-day return: 2.41% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.41% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.764 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.41% · 1-day return: 2.41% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.41% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.816 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.41% · 1-day return: 2.41% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.41% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.883 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.41% · 1-day return: 2.41% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.41% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.615 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.64% · 1-day return: 1.64% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.840 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.70% · 1-day return: -4.70% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.550 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.37% · 1-day return: -1.37% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.224 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.42% · 1-day return: 0.42% · Beta (60d): -0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.26% · 1-day return: 1.26% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |