THG
Hanover Insurance
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
30
rows
Days on list
10
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialpersisting
score: 0.800confluence: 1days: 10as of 2026-07-16
Triggers:quality:passtwin:TRVcorrelation:0.74spread_z:-2.84laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
TRV
Pair Correlation
0.74
Pair Spread Z
-2.84
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.030confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.2%failure_vol:weak:0.04sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.17%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
12 daysripe: Loaded
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/3 directionally right · mean +2.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-3.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-16 → open8 bars
+8.2%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-209 bars
-1.2%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+5.6%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → open33 bars
-13.9%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.5%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.030 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.610 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.399 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.45% · 1-day return: -3.45% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Sector return (1d): 0.67% · Sector return: 0.67% · Borrowed drop: -3.15% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.588 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.800 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: TRV · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.84 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.399 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.45% · 1-day return: -3.45% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Sector return (1d): 0.67% · Sector return: 0.67% · Borrowed drop: -3.15% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.588 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.588 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: TRV · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -2.39 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.364 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.217 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.364 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.364 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.364 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.584 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.584 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.88% · 1-day return: -0.88% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.290 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.290 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.85% · 1-day return: -0.85% · Beta (60d): -0.06 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.127 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.24% · 1-day return: 0.24% · Beta (60d): -0.06 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.210 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.47% · 1-day return: 0.47% · Beta (60d): -0.04 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.162 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.31% · 1-day return: 0.31% · Beta (60d): -0.02 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.584 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.29% · 1-day return: 1.29% · Beta (60d): -0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.531 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.694 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |