HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
51
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.563confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -3.6%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.63pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.01×-0.8%=-0.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.63%
1-day return
-3.63%
Beta (60d)
0.01
Sector return (1d)
-0.80%
Sector return
-0.80%
Borrowed drop
-3.63%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 50as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 15.3% (extreme)days_to_cover 8.12 (extreme)ret_20d -12.6% (falling)dist_52w_low +7.0% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
15.31
Days To Cover
8.12
Ret 20d
-0.13
Dist 52w Low
0.07
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
8 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
3 days
N1 · Distribution Top
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 7/13 directionally right · mean +1.8%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-2.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → 2026-09-022 bars
-0.9%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-26 → open12 bars
+11.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-202 bars
+5.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-122 bars
+0.6%dropped
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
+9.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
-1.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-07-27 → open34 bars
-23.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-222 bars
+2.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-104 bars
-3.3%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-073 bars
-2.9%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-01 → 2026-07-063 bars
-1.0%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-23 → 2026-07-017 bars
-0.2%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+5.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.2%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2917 bars
+9.2%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 15.31 · Days To Cover: 8.12 · Ret 20d: -0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.619 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.563 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.63% · 1-day return: -3.63% · Beta (60d): 0.01 · Sector return (1d): -0.80% · Sector return: -0.80% · Borrowed drop: -3.63% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.563 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.13 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.462 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.25% · 1-day return: -3.25% · Beta (60d): -0.16 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.33% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.462 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.61 · Days To Cover: 5.38 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.12 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-26 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.856 | 1 | exited | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.45 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.619 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.433 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.24% · 1-day return: -3.24% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -3.27% |
| 2026-08-21 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.433 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.24% · 1-day return: -3.24% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -3.27% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.456 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.10% · 1-day return: -7.10% · Beta (60d): -0.06 · Sector return (1d): -0.16% · Sector return: -0.16% · Borrowed drop: -7.11% |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.456 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -7.10% · 1-day return: -7.10% · Beta (60d): -0.06 · Sector return (1d): -0.16% · Sector return: -0.16% · Borrowed drop: -7.11% |
| 2026-08-07 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.490 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -10.45% · 1-day return: -10.45% · Beta (60d): 0.09 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -10.51% |
| 2026-08-06 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.490 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -10.45% · 1-day return: -10.45% · Beta (60d): 0.09 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -10.51% |
| 2026-07-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.12 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-29 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.856 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.45 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.771 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.355 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -2.92% |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.355 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -2.92% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.771 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.695 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.31% · 1-day return: 1.31% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.09% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.695 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.31% · 1-day return: 1.31% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.09% |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.12 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-01 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.856 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.45 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.771 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.221 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.695 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.31% · 1-day return: 1.31% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.09% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.331 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.89% · 1-day return: -0.89% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.66% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.04% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.499 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.499 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.24% · 1-day return: -1.24% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.84% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.639 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.30% · 1-day return: 1.30% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.30% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.689 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.30% · 1-day return: 1.30% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.30% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.754 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.30% · 1-day return: 1.30% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.30% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.669 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.87% · 1-day return: 1.87% · Beta (60d): 1.21 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.616 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.39% · 1-day return: 1.39% · Beta (60d): 1.21 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |