SF
Stifel
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.585confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passtwin:RJFcorrelation:0.74spread_z:+2.44laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
RJF
Pair Correlation
0.74
Pair Spread Z
2.44
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.008confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-06-30
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.71 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.10
Sma Dist 200
-0.10
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
5 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
5 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
12 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/4 directionally right · mean -3.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-23 → open3 bars
-3.4%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-024 bars
-4.6%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-06-29 → 2026-06-302 bars
-1.9%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-6.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
-1.7%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-08 → open34 bars
+16.6%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.585 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: RJF · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: 2.44 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 2.79 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.732 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.13% |
| 2026-07-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.732 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: RJF · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.41 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.350 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.732 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.13% |
| 2026-06-30 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.008 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.71 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-29 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.059 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.68 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 46 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.732 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.13% |
| 2026-06-28 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.732 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: RJF · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.41 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.732 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.77 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 38 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.737 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.10% |
| 2026-06-27 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.737 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: RJF · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.41 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.737 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.77 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 38 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.817 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.90% |
| 2026-06-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.817 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: RJF · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.41 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.817 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.77 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 38 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 2.79 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.350 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.477 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.20% |
| 2026-06-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.024 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.11% · 1-day return: 0.11% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.11% |
| 2026-06-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.024 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.11% · 1-day return: 0.11% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.11% |
| 2026-06-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.024 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.023 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.11% · 1-day return: 0.11% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.11% |
| 2026-06-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.023 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.148 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.71% · 1-day return: 0.71% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-18 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.148 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.253 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.253 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.749 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.18% · 1-day return: 2.18% · Beta (60d): 0.73 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-12 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.95 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.350 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.350 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |