CEG
Constellation Energy
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
36
rows
Days on list
3
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.651confluence: 2days: 3as of 2026-07-16
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-2.5%failure_vol:weak:0.75sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.37
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-2.49%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.375confluence: 1days: 22as of 2026-07-20
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 13 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.19
Sma Dist 200
-0.19
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 16as of 2026-07-15
Triggers:rvol_pctile 16.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
16.33
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
5 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
5 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/5 directionally right · mean -1.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-15 → 2026-07-204 bars
-0.5%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-30 → 2026-07-1713 bars
+0.3%dropped
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-30 → open19 bars
-6.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-06-255 bars
-2.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-0.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-125 bars
-2.8%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.375 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 13 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.33 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -19.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 17 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.651 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.651 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.42 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -19.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 16 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.507 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.36 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.607 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.75% · 1-day return: -1.75% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.75% |
| 2026-07-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.429 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.43 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -20.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 22 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.443 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.44 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -20.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 27 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.507 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.43 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -22.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 25 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.371 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.595 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.44 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -24.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 25 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.607 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.75% · 1-day return: -1.75% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.75% |
| 2026-07-06 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.497 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.41 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -22.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 27 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.597 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.43 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -24.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 24 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.604 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.45 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -25.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 24 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-30 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.513 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.42 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -21.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 23 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-29 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.424 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.49 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -18.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 37 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.607 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.75% · 1-day return: -1.75% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.75% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.597 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.75% · 1-day return: -1.75% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.69% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.987 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.75% · 1-day return: -1.75% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.53% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.485 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.85% · 1-day return: -0.85% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.23% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.446 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -3.83% |
| 2026-06-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.371 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.93% · 1-day return: -1.93% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.083 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.17% · 1-day return: -0.17% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.19% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.773 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.55% · 1-day return: 2.55% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.55% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.778 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.55% · 1-day return: 2.55% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.55% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.787 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.55% · 1-day return: 2.55% · Beta (60d): 0.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.55% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.738 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.23% · 1-day return: 2.23% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.298 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.446 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -3.83% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -3.83% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.590 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): 0.93% · Sector return: 0.93% · Borrowed drop: -4.61% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.681 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): 0.92 · Sector return (1d): 0.93% · Sector return: 0.93% · Borrowed drop: -4.61% |