CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
21
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
2 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.518confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:ret_1d -3.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.55pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.17×-0.7%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.42%
1-day return
-3.42%
Beta (60d)
-0.17
Sector return (1d)
-0.74%
Sector return
-0.74%
Borrowed drop
-3.55%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
11 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean -0.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-16 → open8 bars
-2.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
-1.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
+0.7%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
-2.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-042 bars
+1.5%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.42% · 1-day return: -3.42% · Beta (60d): -0.17 · Sector return (1d): -0.74% · Sector return: -0.74% · Borrowed drop: -3.55% |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.610 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.88% · 1-day return: -3.88% · Beta (60d): -0.14 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -3.98% |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.744 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.07% · 1-day return: -5.07% · Beta (60d): -0.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -4.84% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.586 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.07% · 1-day return: -4.07% · Beta (60d): -0.05 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -4.03% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.847 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.01% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.586 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.07% · 1-day return: -4.07% · Beta (60d): -0.05 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -4.03% |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.847 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.01% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.847 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -5.12% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.847 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.01% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.847 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.91% · Sector return: -1.91% · Borrowed drop: -5.12% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.673 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.96% · 1-day return: 1.96% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.96% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.678 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.96% · 1-day return: 1.96% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.96% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.686 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.96% · 1-day return: 1.96% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.96% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.704 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.04% · 1-day return: 2.04% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.819 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.33% · 1-day return: -2.33% · Beta (60d): 0.49 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.167 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.426 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.657 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.54% · 1-day return: 1.54% · Beta (60d): 0.37 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.923 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.09% · 1-day return: 3.09% · Beta (60d): 0.34 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.426 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |
| 2026-06-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.426 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.31% · 1-day return: -4.31% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): — · Sector return: — · Borrowed drop: — |