AAON
AAON
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.026confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.0%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop +0.35pp (below threshold)sector_explained 2.23×-1.5%=-3.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.04%
1-day return
-3.04%
Beta (60d)
2.23
Sector return (1d)
-1.52%
Sector return
-1.52%
Borrowed drop
0.35%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:rvol_pctile 17.9 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
17.93
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
1 day
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/7 directionally right · mean -8.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+4.6%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
+1.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-266 bars
-7.5%closed
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-12 → open8 bars
-9.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-07 → 2026-08-135 bars
-7.6%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-319 bars
-13.6%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
+0.7%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-4.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-07-0721 bars
-26.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-2.6%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.026 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 2.23 · Sector return (1d): -1.52% · Sector return: -1.52% · Borrowed drop: 0.35% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.287 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -2.61% |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.885 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.287 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -2.61% |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.287 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -2.61% |
| 2026-08-20 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.885 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-19 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.886 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.666 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -7.09% · 1-day return: -7.09% · Beta (60d): 2.54 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -3.32% |
| 2026-08-18 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.666 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-17 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.886 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.885 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.884 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.883 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.846 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.95% · 1-day return: -3.95% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -5.44% |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.846 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.41 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.797 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.08% · 1-day return: -6.08% · Beta (60d): 2.52 · Sector return (1d): -0.31% · Sector return: -0.31% · Borrowed drop: -5.28% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.099 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 2.49 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -0.99% |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.218 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -9.94% · 1-day return: -9.94% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.03% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.218 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.94% · 1-day return: -9.94% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -2.03% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.354 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 1.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.529 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.98% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.354 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.529 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.98% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.529 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.98% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.527 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.89% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.562 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -13.65% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 1.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.393 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.05% · 1-day return: -5.05% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.34% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.354 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.584 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.56% · 1-day return: -1.56% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.60% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.765 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.49% · 1-day return: 2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.49% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.771 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.49% · 1-day return: 2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.49% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.779 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.49% · 1-day return: 2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.49% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 1.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.46 · Dist 52w Low: 1.07 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |