AAON
AAON
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.841confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -4.8%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -5.70pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.36×+0.4%=+0.9pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.76%
1-day return
-4.76%
Beta (60d)
2.36
Sector return (1d)
0.39%
Sector return
0.39%
Borrowed drop
-5.70%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
15 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/4 directionally right · mean -8.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
-4.1%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-23 → 2026-06-242 bars
+0.7%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-4.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-07-0721 bars
-26.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-2.6%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.841 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.76% · 1-day return: -4.76% · Beta (60d): 2.36 · Sector return (1d): 0.39% · Sector return: 0.39% · Borrowed drop: -5.70% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.354 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.792 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -7.01% · 1-day return: -7.01% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -5.23% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.953 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -7.86% · 1-day return: -7.86% · Beta (60d): 2.37 · Sector return (1d): 0.30% · Sector return: 0.30% · Borrowed drop: -8.57% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 1.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.529 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.98% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.953 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.86% · 1-day return: -7.86% · Beta (60d): 2.37 · Sector return (1d): 0.30% · Sector return: 0.30% · Borrowed drop: -8.57% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.354 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.529 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.98% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.953 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.86% · 1-day return: -7.86% · Beta (60d): 2.37 · Sector return (1d): 0.30% · Sector return: 0.30% · Borrowed drop: -8.57% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.851 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.59% · 1-day return: -8.59% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -6.24% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.529 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.98% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.529 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.527 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.89% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.527 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.562 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -13.65% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.562 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.98% · 1-day return: -4.98% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 1.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.393 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.05% · 1-day return: -5.05% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.34% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.393 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.05% · 1-day return: -5.05% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Sector return (1d): -2.03% · Sector return: -2.03% · Borrowed drop: -0.47% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.354 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.584 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.56% · 1-day return: -1.56% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.60% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.765 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.49% · 1-day return: 2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.49% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.771 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.49% · 1-day return: 2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.49% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.779 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.49% · 1-day return: 2.49% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.49% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.645 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.77% · 1-day return: 1.77% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.772 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.05% · 1-day return: 2.05% · Beta (60d): 2.22 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.033 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.81% · 1-day return: -6.81% · Beta (60d): 2.15 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 0.58% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.46% · 1-day return: -0.46% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.888 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.15% · 1-day return: 3.15% · Beta (60d): 2.23 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.524 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.13% · 1-day return: -1.13% · Beta (60d): 2.24 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.033 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.81% · 1-day return: -6.81% · Beta (60d): 2.15 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 0.58% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.712 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.92% · 1-day return: -7.92% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Sector return (1d): -1.13% · Sector return: -1.13% · Borrowed drop: -5.62% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.824 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.99% · 1-day return: -7.99% · Beta (60d): 2.04 · Sector return (1d): -1.13% · Sector return: -1.13% · Borrowed drop: -5.69% |
| 2026-06-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.784 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.15% · 1-day return: -3.15% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Sector return (1d): 1.21% · Sector return: 1.21% · Borrowed drop: -5.38% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.39 · Dist 52w Low: 1.03 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.46 · Dist 52w Low: 1.07 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |