VMI
Valmont Industries
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
34
rows
Days on list
2
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.358confluence: 2days: 2as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:ret_1d -3.6%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.71pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.11×+0.1%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.60%
1-day return
-3.60%
Beta (60d)
1.11
Sector return (1d)
0.11%
Sector return
0.11%
Borrowed drop
-3.71%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.893confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-02
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.7%rsi_divergence:53momentum_rollover:-4.8%rel_vol:0.65sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
52.97
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.03
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.05
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.200confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.059 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_6d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.06
Days Since Earnings
6.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
8 daysripe: Confirmed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakout
6 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/6 directionally right · mean +0.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+1.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-22 → open4 bars
-0.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-095 bars
-2.6%dropped
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-02 → 2026-07-073 bars
+0.5%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+4.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+1.8%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-05 → 2026-06-3017 bars
-5.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.200 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.538 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.190 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.181 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.358 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Sector return (1d): 0.11% · Sector return: 0.11% · Borrowed drop: -3.71% |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.358 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.678 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.98% · 1-day return: -3.98% · Beta (60d): 1.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.30% · Sector return: 0.30% · Borrowed drop: -4.31% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.027 | 2 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.391 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.45% · 1-day return: -4.45% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -3.13% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.731 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.44% |
| 2026-07-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.538 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.391 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.45% · 1-day return: -4.45% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -3.13% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.731 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.44% |
| 2026-07-02 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.893 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.97 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.290 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.44 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.290 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.27% · 1-day return: -3.27% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -2.51% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.731 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.44% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.732 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.41% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.538 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.955 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.57% · 1-day return: -2.57% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.33% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.027 | 2 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.488 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.93% · 1-day return: -0.93% · Beta (60d): 0.82 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.23% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.033 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 1.02 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.459 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.558 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.48% · 1-day return: -2.48% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.365 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.88% · 1-day return: 0.88% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.88% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.365 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.88% · 1-day return: 0.88% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.88% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.364 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.88% · 1-day return: 0.88% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.88% |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.033 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 1.02 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.660 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.033 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 1.02 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.312 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.027 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |