ESAB
ESAB
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
48
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.741confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:quality:passtwin:LECOcorrelation:0.71spread_z:+2.63laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
LECO
Pair Correlation
0.71
Pair Spread Z
2.63
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.856confluence: 1days: 50as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 9.1% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 6.13 (extreme)ret_20d -18.7% (falling)dist_52w_low +1.9% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
9.13
Days To Cover
6.13
Ret 20d
-0.19
Dist 52w Low
0.02
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.856confluence: 1days: 10as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.93 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -30.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 42 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.30
Sma Dist 200
-0.30
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
7 daysripe: Confirmed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
4 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
7 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/9 directionally right · mean -1.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.0%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-03 → open6 bars
+5.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-10.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-203 bars
-5.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-122 bars
+3.0%dropped
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-11 → 2026-08-186 bars
+3.5%closed
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-123 bars
+3.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
-2.7%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-07-27 → open34 bars
-21.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-222 bars
+2.5%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → 2026-06-296 bars
-2.4%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-07-1015 bars
-15.3%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+2.8%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.856 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.13 · Days To Cover: 6.13 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.856 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.93 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -30.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 42 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.741 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: LECO · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.63 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.889 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.22 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.889 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.76 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -31.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 40 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.816 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.816 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.84 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -28.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.076 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.68% · 1-day return: -4.68% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -0.86% |
| 2026-09-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.547 | 3 | exited | Pair Twin: LECO · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.49 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.770 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.770 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.85 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -26.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 36 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.765 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.765 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 2.06 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -26.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 50 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.768 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.24 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.768 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 2.20 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -26.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 50 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.791 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.25 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.791 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 2.22 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -27.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 55 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.076 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.68% · 1-day return: -4.68% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -0.86% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.076 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.143 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 1.87 · Sector return (1d): -0.93% · Sector return: -0.93% · Borrowed drop: -1.55% |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.143 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.89 · Days To Cover: 7.11 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.259 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.02% · 1-day return: -4.02% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -2.44% |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.104 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-08-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.547 | 3 | decayed | Pair Twin: LECO · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.49 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.104 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.92% · 1-day return: -3.92% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.179 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Sector return (1d): -0.10% · Sector return: -0.10% · Borrowed drop: -3.02% |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.302 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.595 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -7.08% · 1-day return: -7.08% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Sector return (1d): -0.31% · Sector return: -0.31% · Borrowed drop: -6.44% |
| 2026-08-10 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.547 | 3 | new | Pair Twin: LECO · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.49 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | partial | 0.595 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.278 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 2.10 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: 3.67% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.278 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 2.10 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: 3.67% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.983 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.80% · 1-day return: 1.80% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.04% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.983 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.80% · 1-day return: 1.80% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.04% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.983 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.80% · 1-day return: 1.80% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -7.04% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.24% · 1-day return: 0.24% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.66% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.503 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.69% · 1-day return: -5.69% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.88% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.724 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.00% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.877 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.83% · 1-day return: 6.83% · Beta (60d): 2.30 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 6.83% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.927 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.83% · 1-day return: 6.83% · Beta (60d): 2.30 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 6.83% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.993 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.83% · 1-day return: 6.83% · Beta (60d): 2.30 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 6.83% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.956 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 5.01% · 1-day return: 5.01% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |