CRS
Carpenter Technology
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.700confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -4.0%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.39pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.46×+0.3%=+0.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.96%
1-day return
-3.96%
Beta (60d)
1.46
Sector return (1d)
0.30%
Sector return
0.30%
Borrowed drop
-4.39%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.700confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-4.0%failure_vol:weak:1.06sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.06
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-3.96%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-14
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.7 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.73
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
5 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Loaded
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
1 day
N2 · Overextended Blowoff
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/5 directionally right · mean -2.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+1.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → open7 bars
+6.7%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-14 → 2026-07-163 bars
-1.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+2.2%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+8.3%closed
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-06-12 → open30 bars
-1.6%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0619 bars
-22.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.4%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.700 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.700 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.96% · 1-day return: -3.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Sector return (1d): 0.30% · Sector return: 0.30% · Borrowed drop: -4.39% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.634 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.01% · 1-day return: -4.01% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -4.08% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.243 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.316 | 1 | decayed | Rsi 14: 80.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.28 · Stretch: 0.28 · Atr Pct: 3.49% · 1-day return: 1.60% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.634 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.01% · 1-day return: -4.01% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -4.08% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 1.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.641 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.289 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.78% · 1-day return: -4.78% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -2.54% |
| 2026-07-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.481 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.25% · 1-day return: -1.25% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.25% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.289 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.78% · 1-day return: -4.78% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -2.54% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.481 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.25% · 1-day return: -1.25% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.25% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.641 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.316 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 80.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.28 · Stretch: 0.28 · Atr Pct: 3.49% · 1-day return: 1.60% |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.481 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.481 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.25% · 1-day return: -1.25% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.25% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.462 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.462 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.25% · 1-day return: -1.25% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.20% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.975 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.975 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.25% · 1-day return: -1.25% · Beta (60d): 1.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.40% |
| 2026-06-25 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.089 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 80.23 · Sma Dist 20: 0.12 · Sma Dist 50: 0.27 · Stretch: 0.27 · Atr Pct: 3.39% · 1-day return: 2.93% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 1.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.032 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.49% · 1-day return: 0.49% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.07% |
| 2026-06-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.886 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.145 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 82.85 · Sma Dist 20: 0.13 · Sma Dist 50: 0.26 · Stretch: 0.26 · Atr Pct: 3.47% · 1-day return: 0.02% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.165 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.14 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.165 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.05% · 1-day return: -0.05% · Beta (60d): 1.64 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.09% |
| 2026-06-22 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.164 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 82.83 · Sma Dist 20: 0.15 · Sma Dist 50: 0.27 · Stretch: 0.27 · Atr Pct: 3.39% · 1-day return: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.661 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.89% · 1-day return: 1.89% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.89% |
| 2026-06-21 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.093 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 82.66 · Sma Dist 20: 0.16 · Sma Dist 50: 0.27 · Stretch: 0.27 · Atr Pct: 3.46% · 1-day return: 1.89% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.665 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.89% · 1-day return: 1.89% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.89% |
| 2026-06-20 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.665 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 82.66 · Sma Dist 20: 0.16 · Sma Dist 50: 0.27 · Stretch: 0.27 · Atr Pct: 3.46% · 1-day return: 1.89% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.385 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.89% · 1-day return: 1.89% · Beta (60d): 1.65 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.89% |
| 2026-06-19 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.385 | 2 | persisting | Rsi 14: 82.66 · Sma Dist 20: 0.16 · Sma Dist 50: 0.27 · Stretch: 0.27 · Atr Pct: 3.46% · 1-day return: 1.89% |
| 2026-06-18 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.224 | 2 | persisting | Rsi 14: 81.95 · Sma Dist 20: 0.15 · Sma Dist 50: 0.26 · Stretch: 0.26 · Atr Pct: 3.48% · 1-day return: 0.96% |
| 2026-06-17 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.673 | 2 | persisting | Rsi 14: 81.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.16 · Sma Dist 50: 0.26 · Stretch: 0.26 · Atr Pct: 3.54% · 1-day return: 2.44% |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.331 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.15 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 1.13 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 1.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |