MUR
Murphy Oil
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
100
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremeprimedpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 100as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 7.8% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 6.51 (extreme)ret_20d +10.8% (holding)dist_52w_low +54.7% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:confirmed (ret_20d >= +5% — refusing to break, primed gate)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
7.82
Days To Cover
6.51
Ret 20d
0.11
Dist 52w Low
0.55
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 15.1 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
15.14
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 daysripe: Confirmed
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/7 directionally right · mean -3.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-3.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-25 → 2026-08-273 bars
-1.2%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-25 → open13 bars
-9.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-06 → 2026-08-103 bars
-0.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-28 → 2026-07-292 bars
+1.8%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-24 → 2026-06-252 bars
-0.1%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-6.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-10 → 2026-06-112 bars
-1.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0619 bars
-19.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-05 → open68 bars
-8.3%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.82 · Days To Cover: 6.51 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.14 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.61 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.757 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.856 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.91% · 1-day return: -3.91% · Beta (60d): -1.19 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -5.91% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: 0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.856 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.91% · 1-day return: -3.91% · Beta (60d): -1.19 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -5.91% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.57 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.53 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 8.07 · Days To Cover: 5.33 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.856 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.91% · 1-day return: -3.91% · Beta (60d): -1.19 · Sector return (1d): -1.68% · Sector return: -1.68% · Borrowed drop: -5.91% |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.757 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.757 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.84% · 1-day return: -3.84% · Beta (60d): -1.17 · Sector return (1d): -0.84% · Sector return: -0.84% · Borrowed drop: -4.82% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.607 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -8.69% · 1-day return: -8.69% · Beta (60d): -1.23 · Sector return (1d): 1.47% · Sector return: 1.47% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.607 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.69% · 1-day return: -8.69% · Beta (60d): -1.23 · Sector return (1d): 1.47% · Sector return: 1.47% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.607 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.69% · 1-day return: -8.69% · Beta (60d): -1.23 · Sector return (1d): 1.47% · Sector return: 1.47% · Borrowed drop: -6.87% |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.638 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -6.29% · 1-day return: -6.29% · Beta (60d): -1.27 · Sector return (1d): -2.09% · Sector return: -2.09% · Borrowed drop: -8.95% |
| 2026-08-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.634 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): -1.51 · Sector return (1d): -2.14% · Sector return: -2.14% · Borrowed drop: -7.03% |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.634 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): -1.51 · Sector return (1d): -2.14% · Sector return: -2.14% · Borrowed drop: -7.03% |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: CHRD · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 2.62 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.603 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): -1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.869 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: CHRD · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 2.62 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.603 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): -1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.603 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): -1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.637 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.20% · 1-day return: -2.20% · Beta (60d): -1.74 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.27% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.362 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.57% · 1-day return: -0.57% · Beta (60d): -1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.16% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.28% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.390 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.14% · 1-day return: 0.14% · Beta (60d): -1.62 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.46% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.599 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.36% · 1-day return: -2.36% · Beta (60d): -1.60 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.78% |
| 2026-06-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.869 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CHRD · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 2.62 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.028 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.38% · 1-day return: 0.38% · Beta (60d): -1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.12% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.402 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.82% · 1-day return: -2.82% · Beta (60d): -1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.82% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.407 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.82% · 1-day return: -2.82% · Beta (60d): -1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.82% |
| 2026-06-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.869 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |