FIX
Comfort Systems USA
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
29
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.823confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -5.5%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -6.49pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.58×+0.4%=+1.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.47%
1-day return
-5.47%
Beta (60d)
2.58
Sector return (1d)
0.39%
Sector return
0.39%
Borrowed drop
-6.49%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.767confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.198 >= 0.1)earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.20
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.044confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.1%failure_vol:weak:0.13sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.14
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.08%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
1 day
P1 · Pair Divergence
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean +1.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-22 → open4 bars
+2.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-213 bars
+12.5%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-08 → open14 bars
+5.6%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+0.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0922 bars
-8.6%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-084 bars
+3.5%closed
2 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.767 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.20 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.823 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.47% · 1-day return: -5.47% · Beta (60d): 2.58 · Sector return (1d): 0.39% · Sector return: 0.39% · Borrowed drop: -6.49% |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.823 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.20 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.044 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.104 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: EME · Pair Correlation: 0.80 · Pair Spread Z: -2.01 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.697 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 2.79 · Sector return (1d): 0.42% · Sector return: 0.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.45% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.481 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.28% · 1-day return: -3.28% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -3.42% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 2.96 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.104 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.31% · 1-day return: -6.31% · Beta (60d): 2.59 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -1.83% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.833 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.44% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.104 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.31% · 1-day return: -6.31% · Beta (60d): 2.59 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -1.83% |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.104 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: EME · Pair Correlation: 0.80 · Pair Spread Z: -2.01 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.833 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.44% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.927 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.87% · 1-day return: -6.87% · Beta (60d): 2.55 · Sector return (1d): 0.30% · Sector return: 0.30% · Borrowed drop: -7.64% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.493 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 2.51 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.53% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.833 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.44% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.833 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -4.51% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.829 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.35% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.829 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -4.51% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.838 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -17.30% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.838 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.44% · 1-day return: -8.44% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -4.51% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 2.96 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.685 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.98% · 1-day return: -7.98% · Beta (60d): 2.30 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.22% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.83% · 1-day return: 1.83% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.83% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.648 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.83% · 1-day return: 1.83% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.83% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.656 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.83% · 1-day return: 1.83% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.83% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.453 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.14% · 1-day return: 1.14% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 2.96 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 2.88 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: No |