AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
34
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.850confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -4.4%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -5.60pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.88×-1.4%=+1.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.37%
1-day return
-4.37%
Beta (60d)
-0.88
Sector return (1d)
-1.39%
Sector return
-1.39%
Borrowed drop
-5.60%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.244confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 2.6% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.07 (extreme)ret_20d -4.7% (holding)dist_52w_low +26.4% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
2.63
Days To Cover
5.07
Ret 20d
-0.05
Dist 52w Low
0.26
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
7 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
8 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
11 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 6/6 directionally right · mean +3.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-3.9%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-04 → 2026-08-052 bars
+3.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+0.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-30 → 2026-08-1814 bars
+5.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → 2026-07-173 bars
+5.6%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
+2.2%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+5.0%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.561 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.244 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 2.63 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.26 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.850 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.37% · 1-day return: -4.37% · Beta (60d): -0.88 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -5.60% |
| 2026-08-31 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: BRO · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.25 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.561 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: BRO · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.25 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.561 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.557 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.658 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): -1.01 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -4.17% |
| 2026-08-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.133 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.051 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.658 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): -1.01 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -4.17% |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.355 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: BRO · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.25 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.934 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.19 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.848 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.658 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): -1.01 · Sector return (1d): 0.56% · Sector return: 0.56% · Borrowed drop: -4.17% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.321 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.73% · 1-day return: -3.73% · Beta (60d): -0.97 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.321 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.73% · 1-day return: -3.73% · Beta (60d): -0.97 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.321 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.73% · 1-day return: -3.73% · Beta (60d): -0.97 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.757 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -2.35% · 1-day return: -2.35% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.757 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -2.35% · 1-day return: -2.35% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.757 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.35% · 1-day return: -2.35% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.387 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.94% · 1-day return: -0.94% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.94% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.94% · 1-day return: -0.94% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.94% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.94% · 1-day return: -0.94% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.94% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.601 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.59% · 1-day return: -1.59% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.048 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.09% · 1-day return: 0.09% · Beta (60d): -0.24 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.038 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.07% · 1-day return: 0.07% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.604 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.36% · 1-day return: -1.36% · Beta (60d): -0.29 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.463 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.01% · 1-day return: -1.01% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |