AAL
American Airlines Group
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
52
rows
Days on list
12
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 4.4 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
4.38
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
6 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
8 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
N5 · Revision Collapse
6 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/10 directionally right · mean -1.9%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-02 → open7 bars
-1.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-31 → open9 bars
-2.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-203 bars
-2.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-07 → 2026-08-124 bars
-5.0%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-31 → 2026-08-043 bars
-4.9%closed
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-07-28 → 2026-08-046 bars
-6.8%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-08-047 bars
+7.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-2714 bars
-11.0%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+16.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+10.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-10 → 2026-07-0819 bars
-22.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.1%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.38 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.042 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): 2.28 · Sector return (1d): -1.38% · Sector return: -1.38% · Borrowed drop: -0.49% |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.74 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.042 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): 2.28 · Sector return (1d): -1.38% · Sector return: -1.38% · Borrowed drop: -0.49% |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.954 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.954 | 1 | decayed | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.44% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.298 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.48% · 1-day return: -4.48% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): -0.94% · Sector return: -0.94% · Borrowed drop: -2.71% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.298 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.48% · 1-day return: -4.48% · Beta (60d): 1.89 · Sector return (1d): -0.94% · Sector return: -0.94% · Borrowed drop: -2.71% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.813 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.08% · 1-day return: -6.08% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Sector return (1d): -0.31% · Sector return: -0.31% · Borrowed drop: -5.47% |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.954 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.813 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.08% · 1-day return: -6.08% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Sector return (1d): -0.31% · Sector return: -0.31% · Borrowed drop: -5.47% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.171 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.37% · 1-day return: -3.37% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Sector return (1d): -0.86% · Sector return: -0.86% · Borrowed drop: -1.71% |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.954 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.954 | 1 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.44% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.989 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.72% · 1-day return: -8.72% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 1.71% · Sector return: 1.71% · Borrowed drop: -12.08% |
| 2026-07-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.954 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.954 | 1 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.44% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.952 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.952 | 1 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.44% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.953 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-28 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.953 | 1 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.44% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.952 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.952 | 1 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -3.67% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: No · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.952 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.989 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.72% · 1-day return: -8.72% · Beta (60d): 1.96 · Sector return (1d): 1.71% · Sector return: 1.71% · Borrowed drop: -12.08% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.495 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 1.74 · Sector return (1d): 0.11% · Sector return: 0.11% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.079 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.945 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.69% · 1-day return: 1.69% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.93% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.079 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.945 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.69% · 1-day return: 1.69% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.93% |
| 2026-07-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.785 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.13 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.945 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.69% · 1-day return: 1.69% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.93% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.463 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.883 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.63% · 1-day return: 3.63% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.63% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.886 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.63% · 1-day return: 3.63% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.63% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.891 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.63% · 1-day return: 3.63% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.63% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.868 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.21% · 1-day return: 3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.741 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.86% · 1-day return: -1.86% · Beta (60d): 1.92 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.626 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.60% · 1-day return: 1.60% · Beta (60d): 1.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.888 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.15% · 1-day return: 3.15% · Beta (60d): 2.02 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.463 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |