EXPE
Expedia Group
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
46
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.946confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -8.2%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -7.93pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.35×-0.8%=-0.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-8.21%
1-day return
-8.21%
Beta (60d)
0.35
Sector return (1d)
-0.80%
Sector return
-0.80%
Borrowed drop
-7.93%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.330confluence: 1days: 68as of 2026-08-25
Triggers:short_pct 6.9% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.31 (extreme)ret_20d +13.3% (holding)dist_52w_low +80.1% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
6.90
Days To Cover
5.31
Ret 20d
0.13
Dist 52w Low
0.80
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
6 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
5 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 8/11 directionally right · mean +5.5%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
+3.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-13.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-192 bars
+1.8%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-13 → open21 bars
+14.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-07 → 2026-08-102 bars
-1.3%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-05 → 2026-08-104 bars
-4.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+2.8%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-16 → 2026-07-172 bars
+0.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+2.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-01 → 2026-07-022 bars
+2.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → 2026-08-2748 bars
+36.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+16.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+3.1%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-09 → 2026-06-124 bars
-0.7%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.760 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.946 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -8.21% · 1-day return: -8.21% · Beta (60d): 0.35 · Sector return (1d): -0.80% · Sector return: -0.80% · Borrowed drop: -7.93% |
| 2026-09-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.379 | 3 | exited | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.13 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.500 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.15% · 1-day return: -4.15% · Beta (60d): 0.41 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -3.44% |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.645 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.45% · 1-day return: -4.45% · Beta (60d): 0.34 · Sector return (1d): -1.10% · Sector return: -1.10% · Borrowed drop: -4.07% |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.760 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.330 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.80 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.435 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.36% · 1-day return: -4.36% · Beta (60d): 0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.78% |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.81 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.71 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.379 | 3 | decayed | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.13 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.295 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.74 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-18 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.296 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.71 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.09 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.435 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.36% · 1-day return: -4.36% · Beta (60d): 0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.78% |
| 2026-08-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.435 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.77 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.302 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.379 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.18% · 1-day return: -4.18% · Beta (60d): 0.39 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -4.00% |
| 2026-08-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.75 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-12 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.302 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.90 · Days To Cover: 5.31 · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.379 | 3 | new | 1-day return: -4.18% · 1-day return: -4.18% · Beta (60d): 0.39 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -4.00% |
| 2026-08-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.379 | 3 | persisting | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.13 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.289 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.16 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.456 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.80% · 1-day return: -3.80% · Beta (60d): -0.01 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -3.79% |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.160 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -2.06 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.377 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -2.89% |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.377 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -2.89% |
| 2026-07-15 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.160 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -2.06 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.507 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.20% · 1-day return: -1.20% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.516 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.60% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.60% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.628 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.60% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.05% · 1-day return: 1.05% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.703 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.69% · 1-day return: -1.69% · Beta (60d): 0.96 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.828 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.74% · 1-day return: 2.74% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |