EXPE
Expedia Group
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
39
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached partial
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 39as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 7.5% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 6.16 (extreme)ret_20d +5.8% (holding)dist_52w_low +57.6% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
7.46
Days To Cover
6.16
Ret 20d
0.06
Dist 52w Low
0.58
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.160confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-15
Triggers:quality:passtwin:BKNGcorrelation:0.70spread_z:-2.06laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
BKNG
Pair Correlation
0.70
Pair Spread Z
-2.06
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
1 day
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
8 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
4 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/6 directionally right · mean +4.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-16 → 2026-07-172 bars
+0.5%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+2.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-01 → 2026-07-022 bars
+2.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open25 bars
+17.5%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+16.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+3.1%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-09 → 2026-06-124 bars
-0.7%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.46 · Days To Cover: 6.16 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 7.46 · Days To Cover: 6.16 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.377 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -2.89% |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.377 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -2.89% |
| 2026-07-15 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.160 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: BKNG · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -2.06 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.386 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.53 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-07-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.53 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.377 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.40 · Sector return (1d): -1.80% · Sector return: -1.80% · Borrowed drop: -2.89% |
| 2026-07-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.377 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.503 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): 0.14% · Sector return: 0.14% · Borrowed drop: -3.70% |
| 2026-07-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.420 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.54 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.435 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.53 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-07-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.448 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.18 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.503 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.61% · 1-day return: -3.61% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): 0.14% · Sector return: 0.14% · Borrowed drop: -3.70% |
| 2026-06-30 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.503 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.53 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-29 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.496 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.16 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.516 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.56 · Days To Cover: 5.07 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.513 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.42% · 1-day return: -1.42% · Beta (60d): 0.76 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.417 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -5.39% · 1-day return: -5.39% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -3.64% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.507 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.20% · 1-day return: -1.20% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.88% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.516 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.60% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.565 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.60% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.628 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.60% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.05% · 1-day return: 1.05% · Beta (60d): 0.97 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.703 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.69% · 1-day return: -1.69% · Beta (60d): 0.96 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.417 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.39% · 1-day return: -5.39% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -3.64% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.828 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.74% · 1-day return: 2.74% · Beta (60d): 0.95 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.969 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 5.24% · 1-day return: 5.24% · Beta (60d): 1.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.051 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.10% · 1-day return: 0.10% · Beta (60d): 0.90 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.417 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.39% · 1-day return: -5.39% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -3.64% |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.17 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |