STZ
Constellation Brands
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
44
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.858confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -5.8%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -5.70pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.12×-0.7%=-0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.78%
1-day return
-5.78%
Beta (60d)
0.12
Sector return (1d)
-0.66%
Sector return
-0.66%
Borrowed drop
-5.70%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialpersisting
score: 0.318confluence: 0days: 3as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 2.6% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 24d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
2.59
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
24.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
2 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/7 directionally right · mean +0.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-0.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
+0.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+7.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-203 bars
+1.2%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-14 → open20 bars
-10.2%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-31 → 2026-08-1310 bars
+0.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
-0.1%closed
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-148 bars
-1.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-07-019 bars
+2.9%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+0.6%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → 2026-07-0116 bars
+0.0%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-11 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.318 | 0 | persisting | Hist Earnings Move: 2.59 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 24.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.318 | 1 | persisting | Hist Earnings Move: 2.59 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 25.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.447 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.343 | 1 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 2.59 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 26.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.858 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.78% · 1-day return: -5.78% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Sector return (1d): -0.66% · Sector return: -0.66% · Borrowed drop: -5.70% |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.895 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -6.61% · 1-day return: -6.61% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -6.67% |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.447 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.247 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.895 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.61% · 1-day return: -6.61% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -6.67% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.895 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.61% · 1-day return: -6.61% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Sector return (1d): -0.52% · Sector return: -0.52% · Borrowed drop: -6.67% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.891 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.39% · 1-day return: -6.39% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Sector return (1d): -1.65% · Sector return: -1.65% · Borrowed drop: -6.58% |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.247 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.077 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.23 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.634 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.23 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.437 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.077 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.439 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.07% · 1-day return: -5.07% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Sector return (1d): -1.05% · Sector return: -1.05% · Borrowed drop: -5.16% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.437 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.439 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.07% · 1-day return: -5.07% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Sector return (1d): -1.05% · Sector return: -1.05% · Borrowed drop: -5.16% |
| 2026-07-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.077 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-09 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.083 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.125 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.25% · 1-day return: -0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.27% |
| 2026-07-08 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.093 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.105 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.439 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.07% · 1-day return: -5.07% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Sector return (1d): -1.05% · Sector return: -1.05% · Borrowed drop: -5.16% |
| 2026-07-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.439 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-02 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.143 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.125 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.25% · 1-day return: -0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.27% |
| 2026-07-01 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.167 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.437 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.708 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.64% · 1-day return: -4.64% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Sector return (1d): -0.40% · Sector return: -0.40% · Borrowed drop: -4.68% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.125 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.25% · 1-day return: -0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.27% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.704 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: -3.52% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.585 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.58% · 1-day return: 1.58% · Beta (60d): 0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.58% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.589 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.58% · 1-day return: 1.58% · Beta (60d): 0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.58% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.595 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.58% · 1-day return: 1.58% · Beta (60d): 0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.58% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.324 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.78% · 1-day return: 0.78% · Beta (60d): 0.06 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.704 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.64% · 1-day return: -3.64% · Beta (60d): 0.05 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.897 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.897 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.75% · 1-day return: -2.75% · Beta (60d): -0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.139 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.26% · 1-day return: -0.26% · Beta (60d): -0.01 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |