LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
44
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.363confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta -0.52 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.16
Sma Dist 200
-0.16
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 6.7% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.00 (extreme)ret_20d -0.3% (holding)dist_52w_low +6.0% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
6.74
Days To Cover
5.00
Ret 20d
-0.00
Dist 52w Low
0.06
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
6 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
8 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
7 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/5 directionally right · mean -0.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-20 → open6 bars
-2.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-16 → open8 bars
+2.6%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-013 bars
-0.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → 2026-06-296 bars
+3.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
-0.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-173 bars
-1.3%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-126 bars
-1.2%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.177 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.35 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.74 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.363 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 6.74 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.52 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.252 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.54 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.711 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.97% · 1-day return: -4.97% · Beta (60d): -0.46 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -4.54% |
| 2026-07-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.375 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.49 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.319 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.50 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.267 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.44 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.238 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.43 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.711 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.97% · 1-day return: -4.97% · Beta (60d): -0.46 · Sector return (1d): 0.94% · Sector return: 0.94% · Borrowed drop: -4.54% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.177 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.35 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.052 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -0.23% · 1-day return: -0.23% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.24% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.177 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.35 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.052 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.23% · 1-day return: -0.23% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.24% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.649 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): 1.68% · Sector return: 1.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.35% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.052 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.23% · 1-day return: -0.23% · Beta (60d): 0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.24% |
| 2026-06-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.649 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): 1.68% · Sector return: 1.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.35% |
| 2026-06-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.132 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.61% · 1-day return: -0.61% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.61% |
| 2026-06-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.132 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.131 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.61% · 1-day return: -0.61% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.61% |
| 2026-06-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.131 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.72 · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.131 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.61% · 1-day return: -0.61% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.61% |
| 2026-06-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.131 | 2 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 7.43 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.286 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.68% · 1-day return: -0.68% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.601 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.35% · 1-day return: -1.35% · Beta (60d): 0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.383 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.91% · 1-day return: 0.91% · Beta (60d): 0.14 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.649 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.649 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 0.18 · Sector return (1d): 1.68% · Sector return: 1.68% · Borrowed drop: -3.35% |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.644 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.26% · Sector return: 0.26% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-06-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.384 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.26% · Sector return: 0.26% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-06-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.392 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.01% · 1-day return: -3.01% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.26% · Sector return: 0.26% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-06-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.13 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-05 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |