MPC
Marathon Petroleum
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
30
rows
Days on list
49
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.851confluence: 1days: 49as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-1.2%failure_vol:strong:1.17sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
0.12
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.24%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N2 · Overextended Blowoffpartialnew
score: 0.304confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrsi_extreme:81stretch:21.4%momentum_climactic:7.7%atr_pct:2.6reversal:pending
Dislocation:
Rsi 14
80.90
Sma Dist 20
0.14
Sma Dist 50
0.21
Stretch
0.21
Atr Pct
2.58%
1-day return
1.02%
Ret 5d
0.08
Realized Vol 20d
0.29
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
8 days
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragilityactive
1 day
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
N1 · Distribution Top
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
5 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean -1.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragility2026-07-22 → open4 bars
+0.2%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+2.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-10 → 2026-06-187 bars
-9.3%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-10 → 2026-06-112 bars
-1.5%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-05 → open35 bars
-17.2%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.1%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.851 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.12 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.304 | 1 | new | Rsi 14: 80.90 · Sma Dist 20: 0.14 · Sma Dist 50: 0.21 · Stretch: 0.21 · Atr Pct: 2.58% · 1-day return: 1.02% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.758 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.13 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.81% · 1-day return: -0.81% · Beta (60d): -0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.53% |
| 2026-07-07 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.518 | 2 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.28 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.580 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.81% · 1-day return: -0.81% · Beta (60d): -0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.53% |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.656 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.940 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.13% · 1-day return: -5.13% · Beta (60d): -0.80 · Sector return (1d): -3.88% · Sector return: -3.88% · Borrowed drop: -8.22% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.81% · 1-day return: -0.81% · Beta (60d): -0.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.53% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.202 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.50% · 1-day return: 0.50% · Beta (60d): -0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.940 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.13% · 1-day return: -5.13% · Beta (60d): -0.80 · Sector return (1d): -3.88% · Sector return: -3.88% · Borrowed drop: -8.22% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.202 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.48% · 1-day return: -0.48% · Beta (60d): -0.84 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.46% |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.857 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.70% · 1-day return: -0.70% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.297 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.70% · 1-day return: -0.70% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.70% · 1-day return: -0.70% · Beta (60d): -0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.70% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.778 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.44% · 1-day return: -2.44% · Beta (60d): -0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.825 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.37% · 1-day return: -2.37% · Beta (60d): -0.89 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.940 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.13% · 1-day return: -5.13% · Beta (60d): -0.80 · Sector return (1d): -3.88% · Sector return: -3.88% · Borrowed drop: -8.22% |
| 2026-06-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.938 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.95% · 1-day return: -4.95% · Beta (60d): -0.91 · Sector return (1d): -3.54% · Sector return: -3.54% · Borrowed drop: -8.17% |
| 2026-06-09 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.518 | 2 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.28 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.518 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): -0.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -4.29% |
| 2026-06-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.857 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.987 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.052 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |