TSCO
Tractor Supply
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
54
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.482confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.7%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.38pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.25×-1.4%=-0.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.72%
1-day return
-3.72%
Beta (60d)
0.25
Sector return (1d)
-1.35%
Sector return
-1.35%
Borrowed drop
-3.38%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 8.3% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.45 (extreme)ret_20d -7.1% (falling)dist_52w_low +15.7% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
8.30
Days To Cover
5.45
Ret 20d
-0.07
Dist 52w Low
0.16
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
1 day
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
N5 · Revision Collapse
5 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 7/10 directionally right · mean +1.1%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-192 bars
-0.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
+2.1%closed
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-07-27 → 2026-08-047 bars
+4.4%closed
N5 · Revision Collapseshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-3112 bars
+0.2%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-14 → 2026-07-3114 bars
-1.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
-1.8%closed
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-25 → 2026-07-3126 bars
+0.6%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-186 bars
+5.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-03 → 2026-06-1812 bars
+0.4%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 8.30 · Days To Cover: 5.45 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.482 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.72% · 1-day return: -3.72% · Beta (60d): 0.25 · Sector return (1d): -1.35% · Sector return: -1.35% · Borrowed drop: -3.38% |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.401 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 0.07 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.561 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.529 | 4 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.50 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.529 | 4 | decayed | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.02% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.529 | 4 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.11 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.401 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 0.07 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.401 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.26% · 1-day return: -3.26% · Beta (60d): 0.07 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.561 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.711 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.54% · 1-day return: -4.54% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Sector return (1d): 0.35% · Sector return: 0.35% · Borrowed drop: -4.45% |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.529 | 4 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.50 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.711 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.54% · 1-day return: -4.54% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Sector return (1d): 0.35% · Sector return: 0.35% · Borrowed drop: -4.45% |
| 2026-07-31 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.561 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.711 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.54% · 1-day return: -4.54% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Sector return (1d): 0.35% · Sector return: 0.35% · Borrowed drop: -4.45% |
| 2026-07-30 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.526 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.529 | 4 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.50 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.534 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.529 | 4 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -4.02% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.529 | 4 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.11 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.674 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-28 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.674 | 3 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -9.64% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-07-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.674 | 3 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.17 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -29.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-27 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.657 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.657 | 2 | persisting | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -11.25% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: No |
| 2026-07-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.726 | 3 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.14 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -29.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-24 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.739 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.16 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.739 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.13 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.880 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.13 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -32.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.03 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -34.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 69 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.907 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.09 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -33.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 68 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.712 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.51 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.752 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.97% · 1-day return: -4.97% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -5.12% |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.712 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.04 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -32.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.859 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.50 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.859 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -32.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 68 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.582 | 3 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.51 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N5 · Revision Collapse | primed | 0.582 | 3 | new | Analyst Cluster State: cluster_down · Pt Change 30d Pct: -6.93% · Negative Pt Trail: Yes · Downtrend Confirmed: Yes · Sma Downtrend: Yes · Ret Downtrend: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.490 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.51 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.109 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.752 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.97% · 1-day return: -4.97% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -5.12% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.109 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.752 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.97% · 1-day return: -4.97% · Beta (60d): 0.20 · Sector return (1d): 0.76% · Sector return: 0.76% · Borrowed drop: -5.12% |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.853 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.51 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.109 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.498 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.43% · 1-day return: -1.43% · Beta (60d): 0.47 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.28% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.594 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.63% · 1-day return: 1.63% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.63% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.600 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.63% · 1-day return: 1.63% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.63% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.607 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.63% · 1-day return: 1.63% · Beta (60d): 0.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.63% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.607 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.62% · 1-day return: 1.62% · Beta (60d): 0.46 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.659 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.53% · 1-day return: -1.53% · Beta (60d): 0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.853 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.51 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.853 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.19% · 1-day return: -2.19% · Beta (60d): 0.44 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.670 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.50 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |