DECK
Deckers Brands
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
42
rows
Days on list
11
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.536confluence: 1days: 11as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 0.77 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.20
Sma Dist 200
-0.20
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
8 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
7 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/9 directionally right · mean -1.9% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-02 → open7 bars
+3.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-12 → 2026-08-3114 bars
-5.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
-1.1%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
+3.2%closed
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-28 → 2026-08-046 bars
-3.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-07-272 bars
+4.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+2.4%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-11.7%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-07-0119 bars
-6.8%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.536 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.77 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.341 | 0 | exited | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.10% · Sector return: -1.10% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.599 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.74 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -22.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.591 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.66 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -21.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 40 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.495 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.63 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 45 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.331 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.67 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.341 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.10% · Sector return: -1.10% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.406 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.68 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 31 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.440 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.65 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 25 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-01 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.401 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.57 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 27 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.308 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.341 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 0.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.10% · Sector return: -1.10% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.293 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.514 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.69% · 1-day return: -3.69% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): -0.30% · Sector return: -0.30% · Borrowed drop: -3.51% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.195 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.00% · 1-day return: -3.00% · Beta (60d): 0.64 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -1.97% |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.253 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.25% · 1-day return: -3.25% · Beta (60d): 0.69 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -2.40% |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.308 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.293 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.505 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.76% · 1-day return: -3.76% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -3.51% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.494 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -4.35% |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.494 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Sector return (1d): 0.70% · Sector return: 0.70% · Borrowed drop: -4.35% |
| 2026-07-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.494 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.293 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.293 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.285 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.275 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.133 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.28% · 1-day return: -6.28% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Sector return (1d): -4.72% · Sector return: -4.72% · Borrowed drop: -1.34% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.36 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.835 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.08% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.835 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.08% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.835 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.90% · 1-day return: 1.90% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.08% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.36 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.083 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.85% · 1-day return: -1.85% · Beta (60d): 1.39 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.18% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.418 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.30% · 1-day return: -3.30% · Beta (60d): 1.55 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.79% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.847 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.16% · 1-day return: 3.16% · Beta (60d): 1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.16% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.851 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.16% · 1-day return: 3.16% · Beta (60d): 1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.16% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.857 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.16% · 1-day return: 3.16% · Beta (60d): 1.51 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.16% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.920 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.96% · 1-day return: 3.96% · Beta (60d): 1.50 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.493 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.12% · 1-day return: -4.12% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.36 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.019 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |