CIEN
Ciena
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
39
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialnew
score: 1.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 11.9% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 0d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
11.86
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
0.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
12 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/5 directionally right · mean -4.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
+4.2%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-28 → open10 bars
+12.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → open23 bars
-9.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-07-315 bars
+0.8%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-1512 bars
+7.2%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+2.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-07-2131 bars
-24.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-9.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.651 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.36 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.987 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -10.94% · 1-day return: -10.94% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): 1.28% · Sector return: 1.28% · Borrowed drop: -13.71% |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 1.000 | 1 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 11.86 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 0.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.987 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -10.94% · 1-day return: -10.94% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): 1.28% · Sector return: 1.28% · Borrowed drop: -13.71% |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.194 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.05% · 1-day return: -6.05% · Beta (60d): 2.65 · Sector return (1d): -1.55% · Sector return: -1.55% · Borrowed drop: -1.96% |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.821 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.36% · 1-day return: -4.36% · Beta (60d): 2.43 · Sector return (1d): 0.44% · Sector return: 0.44% · Borrowed drop: -5.42% |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.152 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.50% · 1-day return: -5.50% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Sector return (1d): -1.56% · Sector return: -1.56% · Borrowed drop: -1.63% |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.651 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.36 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.171 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.21% · 1-day return: -6.21% · Beta (60d): 2.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.79% · Sector return: -1.79% · Borrowed drop: -1.80% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.417 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.33% · 1-day return: -9.33% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Sector return (1d): -2.50% · Sector return: -2.50% · Borrowed drop: -3.22% |
| 2026-08-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.235 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.22% · 1-day return: -3.22% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.40% · Sector return: -0.40% · Borrowed drop: -2.25% |
| 2026-08-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.208 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.632 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.17% · 1-day return: -6.17% · Beta (60d): 2.38 · Sector return (1d): -0.88% · Sector return: -0.88% · Borrowed drop: -4.07% |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.036 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.92% · 1-day return: -5.92% · Beta (60d): 2.07 · Sector return (1d): -2.68% · Sector return: -2.68% · Borrowed drop: -0.36% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.036 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.92% · 1-day return: -5.92% · Beta (60d): 2.07 · Sector return (1d): -2.68% · Sector return: -2.68% · Borrowed drop: -0.36% |
| 2026-07-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.537 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.36% · 1-day return: -7.36% · Beta (60d): 2.01 · Sector return (1d): -1.86% · Sector return: -1.86% · Borrowed drop: -3.62% |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.208 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.08% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.08% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.039 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.278 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.08% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.401 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.401 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.99% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.992 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.992 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.78% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.015 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.79% · 1-day return: 0.79% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.03% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.671 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.97% · 1-day return: -1.97% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.97% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.680 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.97% · 1-day return: -1.97% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.97% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.687 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.97% · 1-day return: -1.97% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.97% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.13% · 1-day return: -1.13% · Beta (60d): 2.53 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 2.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.499 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.41% · 1-day return: -7.41% · Beta (60d): 2.67 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |