CIEN
Ciena
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
4
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.159confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -3.6%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -1.54pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.25×-0.9%=-2.0pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.56%
1-day return
-3.56%
Beta (60d)
2.25
Sector return (1d)
-0.90%
Sector return
-0.90%
Borrowed drop
-1.54%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 daysripe: Loaded
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
14 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/3 directionally right · mean -10.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-29 → open20 bars
+20.6%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+2.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-07-2131 bars
-24.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-9.2%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.208 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.159 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.56% · 1-day return: -3.56% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -1.54% |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.088 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.15% · 1-day return: -4.15% · Beta (60d): 2.24 · Sector return (1d): -1.45% · Sector return: -1.45% · Borrowed drop: -0.90% |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.135 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.77% · 1-day return: -3.77% · Beta (60d): 2.26 · Sector return (1d): -1.09% · Sector return: -1.09% · Borrowed drop: -1.31% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.269 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.35% · 1-day return: -7.35% · Beta (60d): 2.18 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: -2.41% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.659 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.58% · 1-day return: -6.58% · Beta (60d): 2.09 · Sector return (1d): -1.12% · Sector return: -1.12% · Borrowed drop: -4.24% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.08% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.37% · 1-day return: -3.37% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): -2.45% · Sector return: -2.45% · Borrowed drop: 1.93% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.129 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.50% · 1-day return: -3.50% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): -2.42% · Sector return: -2.42% · Borrowed drop: 1.16% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.08% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.402 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.04% · 1-day return: -9.04% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Sector return (1d): -2.75% · Sector return: -2.75% · Borrowed drop: -3.17% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.039 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.054 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.90% · 1-day return: -5.90% · Beta (60d): 2.06 · Sector return (1d): -2.61% · Sector return: -2.61% · Borrowed drop: -0.53% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.278 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.738 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.69% · 1-day return: -4.69% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Sector return (1d): 0.14% · Sector return: 0.14% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-06-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.431 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.08% |
| 2026-06-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.401 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.401 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.99% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.992 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.992 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.08% · 1-day return: -1.08% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.78% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.015 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.79% · 1-day return: 0.79% · Beta (60d): 2.27 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.03% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.499 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.41% · 1-day return: -7.41% · Beta (60d): 2.67 · Sector return (1d): -2.83% · Sector return: -2.83% · Borrowed drop: 0.15% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.671 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.97% · 1-day return: -1.97% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.97% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.680 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.97% · 1-day return: -1.97% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.97% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.687 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.97% · 1-day return: -1.97% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.97% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.13% · 1-day return: -1.13% · Beta (60d): 2.53 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.48% · 1-day return: 1.48% · Beta (60d): 2.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.499 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.41% · 1-day return: -7.41% · Beta (60d): 2.67 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.499 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.41% · 1-day return: -7.41% · Beta (60d): 2.67 · Sector return (1d): -2.83% · Sector return: -2.83% · Borrowed drop: 0.15% |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.930 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.83% · 1-day return: 3.83% · Beta (60d): 2.68 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.091 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.17% · 1-day return: 0.17% · Beta (60d): 2.63 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.065 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.03% · 1-day return: -6.03% · Beta (60d): 2.64 · Sector return (1d): -1.87% · Sector return: -1.87% · Borrowed drop: -1.10% |
| 2026-06-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.975 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.51% · 1-day return: -4.51% · Beta (60d): 2.57 · Sector return (1d): 2.13% · Sector return: 2.13% · Borrowed drop: -9.98% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.902 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.27% · 1-day return: -9.27% · Beta (60d): 2.48 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 7.85% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 7.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |