AON
Aon plc
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
39
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.598confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.6%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.79pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.50×-0.4%=+0.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.58%
1-day return
-3.58%
Beta (60d)
-0.50
Sector return (1d)
-0.42%
Sector return
-0.42%
Borrowed drop
-3.79%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.474confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-01
Triggers:quality:passtwin:MRSHcorrelation:0.78spread_z:+2.40laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
MRSH
Pair Correlation
0.78
Pair Spread Z
2.40
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
6 days
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
11 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/8 directionally right · mean -0.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.2%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-09-02 → open7 bars
+7.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-5.8%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-26 → open12 bars
+13.6%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-202 bars
+2.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
-3.4%closed
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-08-0512 bars
-3.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-20 → 2026-08-0311 bars
+3.0%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-07 → 2026-07-082 bars
-0.2%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-30 → 2026-07-023 bars
-6.0%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
-2.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.307 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.598 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.58% · 1-day return: -3.58% · Beta (60d): -0.50 · Sector return (1d): -0.42% · Sector return: -0.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.79% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.956 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.36% · 1-day return: -8.36% · Beta (60d): -0.66 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -8.55% |
| 2026-09-01 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.474 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.78 · Pair Spread Z: 2.40 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.956 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -8.36% · 1-day return: -8.36% · Beta (60d): -0.66 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -8.55% |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.307 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.654 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.482 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: -2.41 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.595 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: -2.55 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.770 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.770 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): -0.80 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.92% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.770 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): -0.80 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.92% |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.595 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: -2.55 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.770 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.770 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): -0.80 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.92% |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.934 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.934 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: -4.05 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.691 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: -2.64 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: 2.01 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.442 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.158 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.13 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.532 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.38% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: MRSH · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: 2.01 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.158 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.13 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.413 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.12 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.532 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.38% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.532 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.30% · 1-day return: -1.30% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.38% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.798 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.78% · 1-day return: -2.78% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.78% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.809 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.78% · 1-day return: -2.78% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.78% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.817 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.78% · 1-day return: -2.78% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.78% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.674 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): -0.22 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.633 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.45% · 1-day return: -1.45% · Beta (60d): -0.21 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.260 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.59% · 1-day return: 0.59% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.709 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.74% · 1-day return: -1.74% · Beta (60d): -0.32 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.024 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.04% · 1-day return: 0.04% · Beta (60d): -0.28 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |