PM
Philip Morris International
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
30
rows
Days on list
43
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.918confluence: 1days: 43as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-1.7%failure_vol:strong:1.24sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.02
Sma Dist 20
0.04
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.65%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.776confluence: 1days: 3as of 2026-07-15
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.9%rsi_divergence:51momentum_rollover:-3.4%rel_vol:0.76sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
51.21
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.03
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialpersisting
score: 0.325confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.073 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_5d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.07
Days Since Earnings
5.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
9 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/4 directionally right · mean -0.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-13 → 2026-07-175 bars
-7.3%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
+1.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-269 bars
+1.8%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-12 → open30 bars
-8.5%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.4%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.325 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.312 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.07 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.918 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.568 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.20% · 1-day return: -3.20% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.84% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.221 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.201 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.568 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.20% · 1-day return: -3.20% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.84% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.776 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.21 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.306 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.80 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.568 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.568 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.20% · 1-day return: -3.20% · Beta (60d): -0.45 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -3.84% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.336 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.272 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.66% · 1-day return: -0.66% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.61% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.899 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.272 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.66% · 1-day return: -0.66% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.61% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.683 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.272 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.66% · 1-day return: -0.66% · Beta (60d): -0.25 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.18% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.61% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.829 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.98% · 1-day return: -2.98% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.00% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.252 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.58% · 1-day return: -0.58% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.58% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.251 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.58% · 1-day return: -0.58% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.58% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.249 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.58% · 1-day return: -0.58% · Beta (60d): -0.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.58% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.023 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.05% · 1-day return: 0.05% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.848 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.54% · 1-day return: -2.54% · Beta (60d): -0.10 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.497 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.23% · 1-day return: 1.23% · Beta (60d): -0.18 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.683 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.833 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |