SW
Smurfit Westrock
Screener candidate detail · 4 active archetypes
Active
4
archetypes
History
54
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 4.3% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.08 (extreme)ret_20d -14.5% (falling)dist_52w_low +34.7% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
4.32
Days To Cover
5.08
Ret 20d
-0.14
Dist 52w Low
0.35
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 2days: 8as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 16.7 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
16.73
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N1 · Distribution Topprimednew
score: 0.556confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-08-28
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.9%rsi_divergence:52momentum_rollover:-2.3%rel_vol:0.89sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
52.38
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.02
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.497confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -4.8%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.43pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.25×-1.1%=-1.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.77%
1-day return
-4.77%
Beta (60d)
1.25
Sector return (1d)
-1.06%
Sector return
-1.06%
Borrowed drop
-3.43%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
8 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 7/11 directionally right · mean +2.0%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-3.3%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-04 → open5 bars
-5.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-8.5%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-08-31 → 2026-09-012 bars
+0.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-18 → 2026-08-203 bars
+1.8%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-18 → open18 bars
+9.7%open · MTM
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
-1.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-108 bars
-5.3%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-07-29 → 2026-07-313 bars
-3.6%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-07-27 → open34 bars
-16.7%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-20 → 2026-07-212 bars
+2.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+1.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-29 → 2026-07-013 bars
-1.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+3.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+11.8%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2917 bars
+11.3%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 2 | new | Short Pct Float: 4.32 · Days To Cover: 5.08 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.954 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.497 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.77% · 1-day return: -4.77% · Beta (60d): 1.25 · Sector return (1d): -1.06% · Sector return: -1.06% · Borrowed drop: -3.43% |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.57 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.248 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Sector return (1d): -0.96% · Sector return: -0.96% · Borrowed drop: -2.33% |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 13.15 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.312 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.35 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.124 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -1.34% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.54 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.209 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Sector return (1d): -1.02% · Sector return: -1.02% · Borrowed drop: -2.11% |
| 2026-08-28 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.556 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.38 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.954 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.293 | 3 | exited | Pair Twin: IP · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: -2.09 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.212 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.34% · 1-day return: -3.34% · Beta (60d): 1.54 · Sector return (1d): -0.79% · Sector return: -0.79% · Borrowed drop: -2.12% |
| 2026-08-21 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.312 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.212 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.212 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.34% · 1-day return: -3.34% · Beta (60d): 1.54 · Sector return (1d): -0.79% · Sector return: -0.79% · Borrowed drop: -2.12% |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.926 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.06 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.554 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.242 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 1.68 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -1.72% |
| 2026-08-12 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.293 | 3 | decayed | Pair Twin: IP · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: -2.09 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.54 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.306 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.48 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-07 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.312 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.312 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.242 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): 1.68 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -1.72% |
| 2026-08-06 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.242 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.242 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-05 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-04 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.322 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.322 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-03 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.325 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.325 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.46 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-31 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.554 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.203 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 1.73 · Sector return (1d): -2.37% · Sector return: -2.37% · Borrowed drop: 0.79% |
| 2026-07-31 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.203 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.203 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.90 · Days To Cover: 5.00 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.333 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.13% · 1-day return: -5.13% · Beta (60d): 2.06 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-07-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.293 | 3 | new | Pair Twin: IP · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: -2.09 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.554 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.977 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.30% · 1-day return: 0.30% · Beta (60d): 1.91 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.58% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.977 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.30% · 1-day return: 0.30% · Beta (60d): 1.91 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.58% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.977 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.30% · 1-day return: 0.30% · Beta (60d): 1.91 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.58% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.305 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.30% · 1-day return: -2.30% · Beta (60d): 1.90 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.01% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.702 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.78% · 1-day return: 1.78% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.78% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.754 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.78% · 1-day return: 1.78% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.78% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.822 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.78% · 1-day return: 1.78% · Beta (60d): 1.85 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.78% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.903 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.70% · 1-day return: 3.70% · Beta (60d): 1.86 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.632 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.44% · 1-day return: -1.44% · Beta (60d): 1.81 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.434 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.04% · 1-day return: -1.04% · Beta (60d): 1.91 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |