AXP
American Express
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
28
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.776confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -4.4%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.97pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.67×+0.9%=+0.6pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.40%
1-day return
-4.40%
Beta (60d)
0.67
Sector return (1d)
0.86%
Sector return
0.86%
Borrowed drop
-4.97%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 2as of 2026-07-07
Triggers:rvol_pctile 15.5 (tight ≤20)quality:passpattern: none (inside_day=0, NR7=0)catalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
15.54
Inside Day
No
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
7 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/6 directionally right · mean +1.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+3.7%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-093 bars
-6.7%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+4.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
-1.8%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-052 bars
+5.3%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.776 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.40% · 1-day return: -4.40% · Beta (60d): 0.67 · Sector return (1d): 0.86% · Sector return: 0.86% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.284 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.85% · 1-day return: -3.85% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.47% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.284 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.85% · 1-day return: -3.85% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.47% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.270 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.62% · 1-day return: -0.62% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.62% |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.790 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.284 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.85% · 1-day return: -3.85% · Beta (60d): 0.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.95% · Sector return: -1.95% · Borrowed drop: -2.47% |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.270 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.62% · 1-day return: -0.62% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.62% |
| 2026-07-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.270 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.62% · 1-day return: -0.62% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.62% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.257 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.62% · 1-day return: -0.62% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.59% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.867 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.62% · 1-day return: -0.62% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.45% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.790 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.086 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.18% · 1-day return: -0.18% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.19% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.318 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.75% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.317 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.75% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.315 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.75% · 1-day return: -0.75% · Beta (60d): 0.77 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.75% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.302 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.73% · 1-day return: 0.73% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.032 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.06% · 1-day return: -0.06% · Beta (60d): 0.79 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.114 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.40% · 1-day return: -3.40% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.624 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.59% · 1-day return: 1.59% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.790 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.18 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.114 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.40% · 1-day return: -3.40% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.114 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.40% · 1-day return: -3.40% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.43% |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |