MARA
MARA Holdings
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
47
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.475confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -5.2%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -8.00pp (unexplained)sector_explained 3.24×+0.9%=+2.8pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.22%
1-day return
-5.22%
Beta (60d)
3.24
Sector return (1d)
0.86%
Sector return
0.86%
Borrowed drop
-8.00%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.196confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-3.0%failure_vol:weak:0.12sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.46
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-3.02%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 38as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 29.6% (extreme)days_to_cover 2.48 (below 5.0 floor)ret_20d -21.1% (falling)dist_52w_low +74.9% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
29.58
Days To Cover
2.48
Ret 20d
-0.21
Dist 52w Low
0.75
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
No
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
13 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/3 directionally right · mean -5.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+2.9%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open25 bars
-20.1%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
-1.6%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-7.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-07-2127 bars
-6.6%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.58 · Days To Cover: 2.48 · Ret 20d: -0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.75 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.196 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.46 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.475 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.22% · 1-day return: -5.22% · Beta (60d): 3.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.86% · Sector return: 0.86% · Borrowed drop: -8.00% |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.475 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.58 · Days To Cover: 2.48 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.80 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.90 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.84 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.82 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.262 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.61% · 1-day return: -6.61% · Beta (60d): 3.46 · Sector return (1d): -0.87% · Sector return: -0.87% · Borrowed drop: -3.61% |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.262 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.26 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.480 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.34% · 1-day return: -7.34% · Beta (60d): 3.40 · Sector return (1d): 0.34% · Sector return: 0.34% · Borrowed drop: -8.48% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.480 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.23 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.709 | 3 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.39 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.445 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.39% · 1-day return: -3.39% · Beta (60d): 3.25 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -6.67% |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.83 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.81 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.773 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 4.65% · 1-day return: 4.65% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.66% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.398 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.31% · 1-day return: -3.31% · Beta (60d): 3.25 · Sector return (1d): 0.64% · Sector return: 0.64% · Borrowed drop: -5.40% |
| 2026-07-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.398 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 28.68 · Days To Cover: 2.33 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.81 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.607 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.80% · 1-day return: -4.80% · Beta (60d): 3.19 · Sector return (1d): 0.31% · Sector return: 0.31% · Borrowed drop: -5.78% |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.607 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 27.51 · Days To Cover: 2.70 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.87 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 27.51 · Days To Cover: 2.70 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.96 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 27.51 · Days To Cover: 2.70 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.79 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.650 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.20% · 1-day return: -7.20% · Beta (60d): 3.17 · Sector return (1d): -0.16% · Sector return: -0.16% · Borrowed drop: -6.69% |
| 2026-07-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.650 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 27.51 · Days To Cover: 2.70 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.79 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.773 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 4.65% · 1-day return: 4.65% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.66% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.494 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.53% · 1-day return: -7.53% · Beta (60d): 2.97 · Sector return (1d): 1.52% · Sector return: 1.52% · Borrowed drop: -12.05% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.709 | 3 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.39 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.487 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 2.91 · Sector return (1d): 2.16% · Sector return: 2.16% · Borrowed drop: -10.10% |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.212 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.00% · 1-day return: -3.00% · Beta (60d): 2.90 · Sector return (1d): 0.08% · Sector return: 0.08% · Borrowed drop: -3.25% |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.580 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.57% · 1-day return: -3.57% · Beta (60d): 2.91 · Sector return (1d): 0.28% · Sector return: 0.28% · Borrowed drop: -4.38% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.773 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.65% · 1-day return: 4.65% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.66% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.595 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.19% · 1-day return: -4.19% · Beta (60d): 3.01 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.07% |
| 2026-06-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.595 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.19% · 1-day return: -4.19% · Beta (60d): 3.01 · Sector return (1d): 1.61% · Sector return: 1.61% · Borrowed drop: -9.03% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.702 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.88% · 1-day return: -4.88% · Beta (60d): 3.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.98% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.702 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.88% · 1-day return: -4.88% · Beta (60d): 3.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.30% · Sector return: -0.30% · Borrowed drop: -3.98% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.738 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.790 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.716 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.063 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.14% · 1-day return: 0.14% · Beta (60d): 2.90 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.709 | 3 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.39 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.709 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 2.97 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.709 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 2.97 · Sector return (1d): -0.55% · Sector return: -0.55% · Borrowed drop: -1.88% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.597 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.51% · 1-day return: -1.51% · Beta (60d): 3.00 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.931 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.90% · 1-day return: 3.90% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.937 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.40% · 1-day return: 3.40% · Beta (60d): 3.15 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.480 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.32% · 1-day return: -5.32% · Beta (60d): 3.06 · Sector return (1d): -0.44% · Sector return: -0.44% · Borrowed drop: -3.98% |