MARA
MARA Holdings
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
50
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.471confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -4.2%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.35pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.55×-0.3%=-0.9pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.20%
1-day return
-4.20%
Beta (60d)
2.55
Sector return (1d)
-0.33%
Sector return
-0.33%
Borrowed drop
-3.35%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremeprimedpersisting
score: 0.244confluence: 0days: 84as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 29.5% (extreme)days_to_cover 1.95 (below 5.0 floor)ret_20d +28.7% (holding)dist_52w_low +82.3% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedprice_resilient:confirmed (ret_20d >= +5% — refusing to break, primed gate)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
29.54
Days To Cover
1.95
Ret 20d
0.29
Dist 52w Low
0.82
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
No
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N6 · PEAD Miss Drift
7 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
7 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/6 directionally right · mean -2.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+6.9%open · MTM
N6 · PEAD Miss Driftshort fragility2026-08-11 → 2026-08-186 bars
+6.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-08-2019 bars
-20.0%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → 2026-08-0711 bars
+14.5%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-22 → open58 bars
-20.4%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
-1.6%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-7.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-07-2127 bars
-6.6%dropped
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.244 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.54 · Days To Cover: 1.95 · Ret 20d: 0.29 · Dist 52w Low: 0.82 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.471 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.20% · 1-day return: -4.20% · Beta (60d): 2.55 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -3.35% |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.471 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.241 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.77 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.314 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.14% · 1-day return: -5.14% · Beta (60d): 2.69 · Sector return (1d): -0.89% · Sector return: -0.89% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.21 · Dist 52w Low: 0.76 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.68 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.72 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.320 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.314 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.14% · 1-day return: -5.14% · Beta (60d): 2.69 · Sector return (1d): -0.89% · Sector return: -0.89% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.314 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: -0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.960 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.72% · 1-day return: -9.72% · Beta (60d): 2.86 · Sector return (1d): -0.29% · Sector return: -0.29% · Borrowed drop: -8.88% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.960 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.60 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.982 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -10.66% · 1-day return: -10.66% · Beta (60d): 2.91 · Sector return (1d): 0.38% · Sector return: 0.38% · Borrowed drop: -11.76% |
| 2026-08-28 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.982 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.76 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.784 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.29% · 1-day return: -5.29% · Beta (60d): 2.79 · Sector return (1d): -0.09% · Sector return: -0.09% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.784 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 29.59 · Days To Cover: 3.06 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.67 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.967 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.14% · 1-day return: -8.14% · Beta (60d): 3.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.45% · Sector return: 0.45% · Borrowed drop: -9.54% |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.320 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.967 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.14% · 1-day return: -8.14% · Beta (60d): 3.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.45% · Sector return: 0.45% · Borrowed drop: -9.54% |
| 2026-08-14 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.441 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.56% · 1-day return: -4.56% · Beta (60d): 3.11 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -6.38% |
| 2026-08-13 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.441 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.446 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.40% · 1-day return: -5.40% · Beta (60d): 3.31 · Sector return (1d): 0.36% · Sector return: 0.36% · Borrowed drop: -6.60% |
| 2026-08-10 | N6 · PEAD Miss Drift | primed | 0.446 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: -0.44 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: -0.10 · Partial Floor: -0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_miss_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.330 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.40% · 1-day return: -5.40% · Beta (60d): 3.29 · Sector return (1d): -0.36% · Sector return: -0.36% · Borrowed drop: -4.20% |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.336 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.39% · 1-day return: -5.39% · Beta (60d): 3.39 · Sector return (1d): -0.33% · Sector return: -0.33% · Borrowed drop: -4.28% |
| 2026-08-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.320 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.49 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.196 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.46 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.709 | 3 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.39 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.773 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 4.65% · 1-day return: 4.65% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.66% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.773 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 4.65% · 1-day return: 4.65% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.66% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.709 | 3 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.39 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.773 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.65% · 1-day return: 4.65% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.66% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.595 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.19% · 1-day return: -4.19% · Beta (60d): 3.01 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.07% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.702 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.88% · 1-day return: -4.88% · Beta (60d): 3.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.98% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.738 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.790 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.716 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.13% · 1-day return: 2.13% · Beta (60d): 2.89 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.13% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.063 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.14% · 1-day return: 0.14% · Beta (60d): 2.90 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.709 | 3 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.39 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.709 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 2.97 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.597 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.51% · 1-day return: -1.51% · Beta (60d): 3.00 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.931 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.90% · 1-day return: 3.90% · Beta (60d): 3.14 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |