ULTA
Ulta Beauty
Screener candidate detail · 0 active archetypes
Active
0
archetypes
History
49
rows
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
No active candidacies for ULTA as of today.
History rows below show past candidacies that have since decayed or exited.
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
12 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation
15 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/8 directionally right · mean -0.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-31 → 2026-09-012 bars
+2.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-20 → open16 bars
-3.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-14 → 2026-08-194 bars
+1.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-14 → 2026-07-174 bars
-3.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-30 → 2026-07-012 bars
-1.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-013 bars
+2.5%dropped
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-07-2121 bars
-3.8%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-3.8%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-052 bars
+0.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.706 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.27% · 1-day return: -4.27% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Sector return (1d): 1.14% · Sector return: 1.14% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.125 | 1 | exited | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.581 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.706 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.27% · 1-day return: -4.27% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Sector return (1d): 1.14% · Sector return: 1.14% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.706 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.27% · 1-day return: -4.27% · Beta (60d): 0.13 · Sector return (1d): 1.14% · Sector return: 1.14% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.581 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.200 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.390 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.47% · 1-day return: -3.47% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.390 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.27 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.390 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.47% · 1-day return: -3.47% · Beta (60d): 0.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -3.14% |
| 2026-08-14 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.125 | 1 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.422 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 0.25 · Sector return (1d): 0.47% · Sector return: 0.47% · Borrowed drop: -3.24% |
| 2026-08-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.404 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.404 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.125 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.133 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.11 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.404 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.404 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.13 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.267 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.216 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.21 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.353 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.600 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.64% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.891 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Sector return (1d): 2.38% · Sector return: 2.38% · Borrowed drop: -7.09% |
| 2026-07-13 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.187 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.21 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 72 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.220 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.26 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.337 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.28 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 74 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-07 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.405 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.30 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 75 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.600 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.64% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.891 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Sector return (1d): 2.38% · Sector return: 2.38% · Borrowed drop: -7.09% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.353 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.33 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.891 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.19% · 1-day return: -6.19% · Beta (60d): 0.38 · Sector return (1d): 2.38% · Sector return: 2.38% · Borrowed drop: -7.09% |
| 2026-06-29 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.353 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.53 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 75 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.600 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.64% |
| 2026-06-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.170 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.69 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 75 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.160 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.24% · 1-day return: -1.24% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.160 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.74 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.412 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.72 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 70 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.465 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.19% · 1-day return: 1.19% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.19% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.466 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.19% · 1-day return: 1.19% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.19% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.468 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.19% · 1-day return: 1.19% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.19% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.472 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.21% · 1-day return: 1.21% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.874 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.83% · 1-day return: -2.83% · Beta (60d): 0.74 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.557 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.90% · 1-day return: -4.90% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.73% · Sector return: -0.73% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.653 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.70% · 1-day return: -1.70% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.399 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.83% · 1-day return: 0.83% · Beta (60d): 0.62 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.769 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.84% · 1-day return: -1.84% · Beta (60d): 0.59 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.557 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.90% · 1-day return: -4.90% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.73% · Sector return: -0.73% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-06-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.557 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.90% · 1-day return: -4.90% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Sector return (1d): -0.73% · Sector return: -0.73% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |