AOS
A. O. Smith
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
54
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialnew
score: 0.119confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 62 >= 60 (elevated)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.12
Sma Dist 200
-0.12
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.261confluence: 0days: 16as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.1%failure_vol:weak:1.06sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.24
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.08%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 9.5% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 8.00 (extreme)ret_20d -8.7% (falling)dist_52w_low +3.3% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
9.55
Days To Cover
8.00
Ret 20d
-0.09
Dist 52w Low
0.03
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/9 directionally right · mean -0.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-28 → open10 bars
-4.7%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+6.9%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-20 → open16 bars
+8.6%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-08-04 → 2026-08-052 bars
+4.0%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
+1.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
-0.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-033 bars
-8.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-172 bars
-1.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
-0.8%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
-1.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+3.9%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-11 → 2026-06-227 bars
+0.3%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-2.0%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.552 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: UFPI · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.50 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.55 · Days To Cover: 8.00 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.03 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.119 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.119 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 62 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.345 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.66% · 1-day return: -4.66% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -2.92% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.261 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.24 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.419 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.345 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.66% · 1-day return: -4.66% · Beta (60d): 0.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -2.92% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.345 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.347 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.55% · 1-day return: -3.55% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Sector return (1d): -0.72% · Sector return: -0.72% · Borrowed drop: -2.94% |
| 2026-08-28 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.552 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: UFPI · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.50 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.552 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 9.76 · Days To Cover: 7.56 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.510 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: UFPI · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.42 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.699 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.22 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.551 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.419 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.421 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.570 | 3 | decayed | Pair Twin: UFPI · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -3.35 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.517 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.517 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.419 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.517 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.419 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.422 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.427 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.570 | 3 | new | Pair Twin: UFPI · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -3.35 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.570 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.432 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.517 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.517 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.66% · 1-day return: -3.66% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): 0.97% · Sector return: 0.97% · Borrowed drop: -4.42% |
| 2026-07-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.662 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.174 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: 0.09% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.331 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.08% · Sector return: -1.08% · Borrowed drop: -2.24% |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.662 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.25 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.331 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.08% · Sector return: -1.08% · Borrowed drop: -2.24% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.634 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.96% · 1-day return: 0.96% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.12% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.331 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.05% · 1-day return: -3.05% · Beta (60d): 0.75 · Sector return (1d): -1.08% · Sector return: -1.08% · Borrowed drop: -2.24% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.634 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.96% · 1-day return: 0.96% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.12% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.821 | 3 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.634 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.96% · 1-day return: 0.96% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.12% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.400 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.15% · 1-day return: -2.15% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.97% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.355 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.83% · 1-day return: -0.83% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.85% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.254 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.59% · 1-day return: 0.59% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.59% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.253 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.59% · 1-day return: 0.59% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.59% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.251 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.59% · 1-day return: 0.59% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.59% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.884 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.46% · 1-day return: 3.46% · Beta (60d): 1.02 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.821 | 3 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.821 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.00% · 1-day return: -4.00% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |