COST
Costco
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
25
rows
Days on list
16
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.304confluence: 1days: 16as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.2%failure_vol:weak:0.64sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.15
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.21%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
7 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean -0.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
+1.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → open14 bars
-0.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-16 → 2026-06-172 bars
-1.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+0.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
-2.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.754 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.554 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.442 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.544 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.754 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.754 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.389 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.13 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.46% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.284 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.46% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.033 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.01% · 1-day return: -0.01% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.08% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.553 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.48% · 1-day return: -1.48% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.559 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.48% · 1-day return: -1.48% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.563 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.48% · 1-day return: -1.48% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.537 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.37% · 1-day return: -1.37% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.789 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.16% · 1-day return: -2.16% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.314 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.74% · 1-day return: 0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.284 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.10 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.284 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.30% · 1-day return: -0.30% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.306 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.68% · 1-day return: 0.68% · Beta (60d): -0.23 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |