COST
Costco
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
32
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-08-17
Triggers:rvol_pctile 6.4 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
6.37
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialpersisting
score: 0.076confluence: 0days: 3as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 1.2% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 13d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
1.19
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
13.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
3 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/6 directionally right · mean +0.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.4%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-18 → open18 bars
+6.4%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-08-13 → 2026-08-195 bars
+0.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
+1.3%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-2413 bars
+2.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-16 → 2026-06-172 bars
-1.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-2910 bars
+0.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-05 → 2026-06-082 bars
-2.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.076 | 0 | persisting | Hist Earnings Move: 1.19 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 13.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.957 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.076 | 1 | persisting | Hist Earnings Move: 1.19 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 14.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.086 | 1 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 1.19 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 15.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.957 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.527 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.12 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.13 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.18 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.304 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.754 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.554 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.15 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.442 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.544 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.754 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.754 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.30% · 1-day return: -4.30% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -1.42% · Sector return: -1.42% · Borrowed drop: -4.97% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.389 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.13 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.46% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.554 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.39% · 1-day return: -1.39% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.46% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.033 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.01% · 1-day return: -0.01% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.08% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.553 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.48% · 1-day return: -1.48% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.559 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.48% · 1-day return: -1.48% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.563 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.48% · 1-day return: -1.48% · Beta (60d): -0.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.48% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.537 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.37% · 1-day return: -1.37% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.789 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.16% · 1-day return: -2.16% · Beta (60d): -0.19 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.314 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.74% · 1-day return: 0.74% · Beta (60d): -0.26 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.14 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |