KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
36
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimedpersisting
score: 0.524confluence: 2days: 8as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:ret_1d -4.2%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.27pp (unexplained)sector_explained -1.08×-0.1%=+0.1pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-4.16%
1-day return
-4.16%
Beta (60d)
-1.08
Sector return (1d)
-0.11%
Sector return
-0.11%
Borrowed drop
-4.27%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.377confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-22
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.7%failure_vol:weak:0.07sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.31
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.68%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 54as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 12.3% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 9.38 (extreme)ret_20d +9.6% (holding)dist_52w_low +24.6% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
12.31
Days To Cover
9.38
Ret 20d
0.10
Dist 52w Low
0.25
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
3 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
5 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation
5 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
11 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/2 directionally right · mean -1.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-22 → open4 bars
-11.9%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-16 → open8 bars
+14.4%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-06-23 → open24 bars
-19.3%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-247 bars
+0.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → 2026-06-167 bars
-3.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-05 → open35 bars
+20.2%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.31 · Days To Cover: 9.38 · Ret 20d: 0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.25 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 12.31 · Days To Cover: 9.38 · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.367 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.16 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 62 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.377 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.524 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.16% · 1-day return: -4.16% · Beta (60d): -1.08 · Sector return (1d): -0.11% · Sector return: -0.11% · Borrowed drop: -4.27% |
| 2026-07-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.524 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.12 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.371 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.09% · 1-day return: -3.09% · Beta (60d): -1.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.12% · Sector return: 0.12% · Borrowed drop: -2.96% |
| 2026-07-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.371 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.388 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.552 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -5.34% · 1-day return: -5.34% · Beta (60d): -0.95 · Sector return (1d): 0.67% · Sector return: 0.67% · Borrowed drop: -4.70% |
| 2026-07-15 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.552 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.376 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.16 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.380 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.59 · Days To Cover: 6.07 · Ret 20d: 0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.275 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.386 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.85 · Days To Cover: 9.20 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.468 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -4.57% · 1-day return: -4.57% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.60% |
| 2026-06-29 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.468 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.57% · 1-day return: -4.57% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.60% |
| 2026-06-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.275 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.16 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 62 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.567 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.20 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.603 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.09 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 63 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.468 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.57% · 1-day return: -4.57% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -4.60% |
| 2026-06-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.468 | 2 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.08 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -21.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 50 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.377 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.12% · 1-day return: -0.12% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.12% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.462 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.12% · 1-day return: -0.12% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.12% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.526 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.12% · 1-day return: -0.12% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.12% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.421 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.05% · 1-day return: -1.05% · Beta (60d): -0.13 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.518 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.12% · 1-day return: -1.12% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.131 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.28% · 1-day return: 0.28% · Beta (60d): -0.15 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.088 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.14% · 1-day return: 0.14% · Beta (60d): -0.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.114 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.23% · 1-day return: 0.23% · Beta (60d): -0.12 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.275 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.37 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.090 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.38 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |