EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
47
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.181confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -3.2%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -1.94pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.17×-1.0%=-1.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.17%
1-day return
-3.17%
Beta (60d)
1.17
Sector return (1d)
-1.05%
Sector return
-1.05%
Borrowed drop
-1.94%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 27as of 2026-08-17
Triggers:rvol_pctile 3.6 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
3.59
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 7/8 directionally right · mean +1.6% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-2.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-5.3%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-21 → open6 bars
+6.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-07-272 bars
+1.0%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-23 → 2026-08-1920 bars
+12.3%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-22 → 2026-07-232 bars
+2.0%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-09 → 2026-07-102 bars
+1.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-06 → 2026-07-094 bars
+4.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-06-222 bars
+2.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-13.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.1%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.764 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.181 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.17% · 1-day return: -3.17% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Sector return (1d): -1.05% · Sector return: -1.05% · Borrowed drop: -1.94% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.551 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Sector return (1d): -0.12% · Sector return: -0.12% · Borrowed drop: -3.64% |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.551 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): 0.98 · Sector return (1d): -0.12% · Sector return: -0.12% · Borrowed drop: -3.64% |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.764 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.765 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-26 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.766 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-25 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.767 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.767 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.768 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.768 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.22 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.657 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.37 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.38 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-12 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.98 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.18 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.201 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.33% · 1-day return: -3.33% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -1.96% |
| 2026-08-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.40 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-05 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-04 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.657 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.80 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.20 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.201 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.33% · 1-day return: -3.33% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -1.96% |
| 2026-07-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.201 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.33% · 1-day return: -3.33% · Beta (60d): 0.99 · Sector return (1d): -1.40% · Sector return: -1.40% · Borrowed drop: -1.96% |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.301 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): -0.56% · Sector return: -0.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.59% |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.657 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.31 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.301 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): -0.56% · Sector return: -0.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.59% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.461 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.301 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): -0.56% · Sector return: -0.56% · Borrowed drop: -2.59% |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.499 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.29 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.218 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.30 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.461 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.644 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.02% · 1-day return: -6.02% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: -2.51% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.461 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.14% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.961 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.62% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.438 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.59% · 1-day return: -0.59% · Beta (60d): 1.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.06% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.808 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.81% · 1-day return: 2.81% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.81% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.813 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.81% · 1-day return: 2.81% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.81% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.821 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.81% · 1-day return: 2.81% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.81% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.844 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.99% · 1-day return: 2.99% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.24 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |